Changes in population movement make COVID-19 spread differently from SARS

Shi, Qiujie; Dorling, Danny; Cao, Guichan; Liu, Tao

doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.113036

Cited by 42 publications

(28 citation statements)

References 13 publications

(16 reference statements)

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“…However, at the same time, it seems to lay out various vulnerabilities, among which we can include the velocity of biological viruses’ transmission. In this context, some studies have implied that the COVID-19 diffusion may be different from other pandemics given migrants’ recent possibilities of travelling over long distances [ 48 ]. The role of migration corridors (origin and destination places socially connected by migrants) has been also emphasized as a key factor, in addition to the COVID-19 contiguity diffusion [ 27 ].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The role of migration corridors (origin and destination places socially connected by migrants) has been also emphasized as a key factor, in addition to the COVID-19 contiguity diffusion [ 27 ]. Moreover, it has been claimed that international tourists have even higher risk of spreading COVID-19 due to their unconstrained and infrequent movement patterns [ 48 ]. Evidence suggests that the movement of tourists should not be disregarded as a factor in COVID-19 diffusion while an abundant literature has so far documented case importations across the world [ 18 – 26 ].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The impact of human mobility networks on the global spread of COVID-19

Hancean

Slavinec

Perc

2020

Journal of Complex Networks

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Human mobility networks are crucial for a better understanding and controlling the spread of epidemics. Here, we study the impact of human mobility networks on the COVID-19 onset in 203 different countries. We use exponential random graph models to perform an analysis of the country-to-country global spread of COVID-19. We find that most countries had similar levels of virus spreading, with only a few acting as the main global transmitters. Our evidence suggests that migration and tourism inflows increase the probability of COVID-19 case importations while controlling for contiguity, continent co-location and sharing a language. Moreover, we find that air flights were the dominant mode of transportation while male and returning travellers were the main carriers. In conclusion, a mix of mobility and geography factors predicts the COVID-19 global transmission from one country to another. These findings have implications for non-pharmaceutical public health interventions and the management of transborder human circulation.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of human mobility networks on the global spread of COVID-19

Hancean

Slavinec

Perc

2020

Journal of Complex Networks

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“…These include whether there are land borders with other infected countries, population density, proportion of population with underlying conditions, 10 and a high flow of people across borders by tourists, 11 migrant workers, 12 or refugees. 13 , 14 …”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Relationship between the perceived strength of countries’ primary care system and COVID-19 mortality: an international survey study

et al. 2020

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BackgroundStrong primary health care (PHC) is the cornerstone for universal health coverage and a country’s health emergency response. PHC includes public health and first-contact primary care (PC). Internationally, the spread of COVID-19 and mortality rates vary widely. The authors hypothesised that countries perceived to have strong PHC have lower COVID-19 mortality rates.AimTo compare perceptions of PC experts on PC system strength, pandemic preparedness, and response with COVID-19 mortality rates in countries globally.Design & settingA convenience sample of international PHC experts (clinicians, researchers, and policymakers) completed an online survey (in English or Spanish) on country-level PC attributes and pandemic responses.MethodAnalyses of perceived PC strength, pandemic plan use, border controls, movement restriction, and testing against COVID-19 mortality were undertaken for 38 countries with ≥5 responses.ResultsIn total, 1035 responses were received from 111 countries, with 1 to 163 responders per country. The 38 countries with ≥5 responses were included in the analyses. All world regions and economic tiers were represented. No correlation was found between PC strength and mortality. Country-level mortality negatively correlated with perceived stringent border control, movement restriction, and testing regimes.ConclusionCountries perceived by expert participants as having a prepared pandemic plan and a strong PC system did not necessarily experience lower COVID-19 mortality rates. What appears to make a difference to containment is if and when the plan is implemented, and how PHC is mobilised to respond. Many factors contribute to spread and outcomes. Important responses are first to limit COVID-19 entry across borders, then to mobilise PHC, integrating the public health and PC sectors to mitigate spread and reduce burden on hospitals through hygiene, physical distancing, testing, triaging, and contract-tracing measures.

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“…We opted to use an online survey to collect data from different social groups of Bangladesh, such as teachers, government officials, development workers, professionals, and students, through the snowball sampling technique because social distancing is a crucial issue during this COVID-19 outbreak ( Roy et al, 2020 ; Shi et al, 2020a , Shi et al, 2020b ). The ability to use an online survey is attributed to the proliferation of internet usage in Bangladesh due to the heightened government initiatives for digitalization ( Shammi, Bodrud-Doza, Islam, & Rahman, 2020 ).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The recent 2019 outbreak has become a threat and put humankind into great trouble. SARS-COV-2, also known as COVID-19, was first identified in Wuhan, China's wet market ( Maugeri et al, 2020 ; Shi et al, 2020a , Shi et al, 2020b ). Due to the high reproduction coefficient (R 0 = 3.84) ( Liu, Gayle, Wilder-Smith, & Rocklöv, 2020 ), the SARS-COV-2 virus spread worldwide rapidly, and the incidence rate rises at an unprecedented speed.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Quality of life in the COVID-19 outbreak: influence of psychological distress, government strategies, social distancing, and emotional recovery

Khan¹,

Kamruzzaman²,

Rahman³

et al. 2021

Heliyon

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Considering the severity of the effects of COVID-19 on psychological health and quality of life, the present study investigates the direct effects of government strategies and social distancing and the moderating effect of emotional recovery on psychological distress and quality of life using the tenets of the theory of attachment and learned helplessness. The snowball sampling technique was used to recruit respondents from Bangladesh who completed a self-administered questionnaire via Google Forms, which provided cross-sectional data. The results revealed that both social distancing and government strategies have significant negative influences on psychological distress. Besides, government strategies have a significant positive influence on social distancing. Although psychological distress has a significant negative influence on quality of life, emotional recovery shows no moderating effect on the relationship between psychological distress and quality of life during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study provides insights for regulatory bodies and policymakers for developing effective policy interventions to ensure the well-being of people during this pandemic. Finally, the study highlights the implications for both theory and practice and a few notes for further research.

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Changes in population movement make COVID-19 spread differently from SARS

Cited by 42 publications

References 13 publications

The impact of human mobility networks on the global spread of COVID-19

The impact of human mobility networks on the global spread of COVID-19

Relationship between the perceived strength of countries’ primary care system and COVID-19 mortality: an international survey study

Quality of life in the COVID-19 outbreak: influence of psychological distress, government strategies, social distancing, and emotional recovery

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