2022
DOI: 10.1101/2022.06.20.496925
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Changes in benthic and pelagic production interact with warming to drive responses to climate change in a temperate coastal ecosystem

Abstract: Changing sea temperatures and primary productivity are rapidly altering marine ecosystems, but with considerable uncertainty in our understanding of the relative importance of these drivers and how their interactions may affect fisheries yield through complex food webs. Such outcomes are more difficult to predict for shallow coastal ecosystems than those in pelagic and shelf habitats, because coastal food webs are fuelled by a combination of separate pelagic and benthic energy pathways. Using long-term, empiri… Show more

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Cited by 1 publication
(8 citation statements)
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References 86 publications
(140 reference statements)
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“…These findings emphasise the well-evidenced negative impacts of ocean warming on fish population biomass and productivity (Capitani et al, 2022;Carozza et al, 2018;Free et al, 2019;Wilson et al, 2021), as well as the importance of species interactions and trophic cascades in determining responses to warming (Baum & Worm, 2009;Kirby & Beaugrand, 2009;Steneck, 2012) and thermal refuge availability. Reductions in biomass and fisheries yields with ocean warming have been observed using other temperature-dependent mizer models (Audzijonyte et al, 2022;Kuo et al, 2022;Lindmark et al, 2022;Woodworth-Jefcoats et al, 2019), and Kuo et al (2022) highlighted evidence of warming-induced trophic cascades as changes in spatial overlap and decreases in fish biomass resulted in species having to feed more on background resources. However, the community-wide negative response to the extreme euphotic heatwave highlights that the impacts of approaching or exceeding thermal tolerance limits outweigh the benefits of release from competition and predation.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 85%
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“…These findings emphasise the well-evidenced negative impacts of ocean warming on fish population biomass and productivity (Capitani et al, 2022;Carozza et al, 2018;Free et al, 2019;Wilson et al, 2021), as well as the importance of species interactions and trophic cascades in determining responses to warming (Baum & Worm, 2009;Kirby & Beaugrand, 2009;Steneck, 2012) and thermal refuge availability. Reductions in biomass and fisheries yields with ocean warming have been observed using other temperature-dependent mizer models (Audzijonyte et al, 2022;Kuo et al, 2022;Lindmark et al, 2022;Woodworth-Jefcoats et al, 2019), and Kuo et al (2022) highlighted evidence of warming-induced trophic cascades as changes in spatial overlap and decreases in fish biomass resulted in species having to feed more on background resources. However, the community-wide negative response to the extreme euphotic heatwave highlights that the impacts of approaching or exceeding thermal tolerance limits outweigh the benefits of release from competition and predation.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 85%
“…Mizer models in general are currently particularly well-suited to modelling openocean pelagic ecosystems, but developments have been occurring for realistically representing coastal ecosystems. Rather than having herbivores feed on the plankton spectrum, algae could be modelled explicitly and adjustments could be made to therMizer's mechanics to incorporate the feeding on benthic resources allowed for in the mizer extension package mizerMR (Audzijonyte et al, 2022). The response of herbivores in the warming simulations run using this study's model should be treated with some caution, as their response was likely driven by a combination of predator release -which would occur in a real system -and competitive release for plankton, which is not applicable to them in a real system.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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