Changes and Trends in Total Yearly Precipitation of the Antalya District, Turkey

Altın, Türkan Bayer; Barak, Belma

doi:10.1016/j.sbspro.2014.02.139

Cited by 27 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…For example, in Italy many regional studies (Brunetti et al 2006;Caloiero et al 2015) have identified the existence of a decreasing trend in annual precipitation, while others did not detect any significant trend at all (Fatichi & Caporali 2009). A positive trend has been evidenced in the eastern Mediterranean, although not in the rainy season (Maheras et al 2001;Altin & Barak 2014). Finally, Guijarro et al (2006), showed a significant decrease in the cyclonic circulation in the western Mediterranean, and an increase in the eastern Mediterranean.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Long‐term precipitation trend analysis in Europe and in the Mediterranean basin

Caloiero

Frustaci

2018

Water & Environment J

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The spatiotemporal analysis of a region's precipitation climate regime could be particularly interesting for many fields of applied sciences, such as climatology, hydrology and water resources management. In this study, the precipitation trends at seasonal and annual scale, over a large area of the northern Hemisphere have been analysed based on a globally gridded precipitation data sets of monthly observations. In particular, among the several data sets available in literature, with spatial resolutions of 0.5° longitude/latitude, in this work the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre Full Data Reanalysis Version 6 data set has been used. The broad extension of the area under investigation allowed a better understanding of trend precipitation patterns over space. In fact, yearly results evidenced a marked negative rainfall tendency in the eastern Mediterranean (more than −20 mm/10 years) and in North Africa (until −16 mm/10 years), while a relatively large positive trend (more than 20 mm/10 years) in central and northern Europe has been observed.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A positive trend has been evidenced in the eastern Mediterranean, although not in the rainy season (Maheras et al . ; Altin & Barak ). Finally, Guijarro et al .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Long‐term precipitation trend analysis in Europe and in the Mediterranean basin

Caloiero

Frustaci

2018

Water & Environment J

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“…Over the past century, climate change has been manifested in alteration of precipitation regimes worldwide (Giorgi & Lionello, 2008;Knapp et al, 2015). In the Mediterranean regions there is a clear trend of decreasing precipitation and runoff (Altin & Barak, 2014;Boithias et al, 2014;Brunetti et al, 2002;Ceballos et al, 2004;Garcia-Ruiz et al, 2011;Klein-Tank & Können, 2003;Lopez-Moreno et al, 2011;Martinez-Fernandez et al, 2013;Ventura et al, 2002;Vicente-Serrano & López-Moreno, 2006;Vicente-Serrano et al, 2011), triggering desertification with deleterious impacts on agricultural and water resources sustainability. Climate change projections point to further strengthening of the observed changes in global precipitation (Giorgi & Lionello, 2008), with increasing drought severity and water supply in the Mediterranean area (Cayan et al, 2008;Mariotti et al, 2008;Mastrandrea & Luers, 2012;May, 2008;Ozturk et al, 2015).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changing Seasonal Rainfall Distribution With Climate Directs Contrasting Impacts at Evapotranspiration and Water Yield in the Western Mediterranean Region

Montaldo

Oren

2018

Earth's Future

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Over the past century, climate change has been reflected in altered precipitation regimes worldwide. Because evapotranspiration is sensitive to both water availability and atmospheric demand for water vapor, it is essential to assess the likely consequences of future changes of these climate variables to evapotranspiration and, thus, runoff. We propose a simplified approach for annual evapotranspiration predictions, based on seasonal evapotranspiration estimates, accounting for the strong seasonality of meteorological conditions typical of Mediterranean climate, still holding the steady state assumption of basin water balance at mean annual scale. Sardinian runoff decreased over the 1975–2010 period by more than 40% compared to the preceding 1922–1974 period. Most of annual runoff in Sardinian basins is produced by winter precipitation, a wet season with relatively high evaporation rates. We derived linear seasonal evapotranspiration responses to seasonal precipitation, and, in turn, a relationship between the parameters of the linear functions and the seasonal vapor pressure deficit (D), accounting for residuals with basin properties. We then used these relationships to predict evapotranspiration and runoff using future Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate scenarios, considering changing precipitation and D seasonality. We show that evapotranspiration is insensitive to D scenario changes. Although both evapotranspiration and runoff are sensitive to precipitation seasonality, future changes in runoff are related only to changes of winter precipitation, while evapotranspiration changes are related to those of spring and summer precipitation. Future scenario predicting further runoff decline is particularly alarming for the Sardinian water resources system, requiring new strategies and designs in water resources planning and management.

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“…The Mann-Kendall trend test is a non-parameteric statistical test that is widely used for the analysis of climate trend variables (Mezdour & Probst 2016;Zhao et al 2015) and also in the analysis of time series (Pingale et al 2014). The non-parametric Mann-Kendall statistical method was the main approach employed since it is very useful in hydro-meteorological studies (Altin & Barak 2014;Araghi et al 2016). The reason for using the non-parametric statistical tests is because, as compared to parametric statistical tests, nonparametric tests were considered more appropriate for data that is not normally distributed and also for filtered data, which is often encountered in hydro-meteorological time series data (Yue & Pilon 2004;Yue et al 2002).…”

Section: Mann-kendall Trend Testmentioning

confidence: 99%