Objective: To test blood and CSF neurofilament light chain (NfL) levels in relation to disease progression and survival in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS).Methods: Using an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay, NfL levels were measured in samples from 2 cohorts of patients with sporadic ALS and healthy controls, recruited in London (ALS/control, plasma: n 5 103/42) and Oxford (ALS/control, serum: n 5 64/36; paired CSF: n 5 38/20). NfL levels in patients were measured at regular intervals for up to 3 years. Change in ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised score was used to assess disease progression. Survival was evaluated using Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis.Results: CSF, serum, and plasma NfL discriminated patients with ALS from healthy controls with high sensitivity (97%, 89%, 90%, respectively) and specificity (95%, 75%, 71%, respectively). CSF NfL was highly correlated with serum levels (r 5 0.78, p , 0.0001). Blood NfL levels were approximately 4 times as high in patients with ALS compared with controls in both cohorts, and maintained a relatively constant expression during follow-up. Blood NfL levels at recruitment were strong, independent predictors of survival. The highest tertile of blood NfL at baseline had a mortality hazard ratio of 3.91 (95% confidence interval 1.98-7.94, p , 0.001).Conclusion: Blood-derived NfL level is an easily accessible biomarker with prognostic value in ALS. The individually relatively stable levels longitudinally offer potential for NfL as a pharmacodynamic biomarker in future therapeutic trials.
Classification of evidence:This report provides Class III evidence that the NfL electrochemiluminescence immunoassay accurately distinguishes patients with sporadic ALS from healthy controls. Neurology ® 2015;84:2247-2257 GLOSSARY ALS 5 amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; CI 5 confidence interval; Nf 5 neurofilament; NfH 5 neurofilament heavy chain; NfL 5 neurofilament light chain; PRB 5 progression rate at baseline; PRL 5 progression rate at last visit.Various factors militate against the development of reliable biomarkers in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), including clinical heterogeneity, variable rate of progression, and the lack of a recognizable preclinical state of this fatal neurodegenerative disorder. An easily accessible and reproducible prognostic biomarker would help patient stratification, improving assessment of individual prognosis and care-planning. It might also have potential as a pharmacodynamic measure of therapeutic response. The longitudinal assessment of a putative biomarker would allow a more reliable interpretation of the biomarker's behavior when monitoring treatment response. Blood-based biomarkers are preferable because they require minimally invasive collection compared to CSF sampling. Neurofilaments (Nfs), the main byproducts of neuroaxonal breakdown, are potential "universal" biomarkers of neurodegeneration.1 Nf levels in CSF from patients with ALS increase significantly compared to other neurodegenerative disorders 2-4 or to ALS-mim...