Objective: We assessed salience of subjective memory complaints (SMCs) by older individuals as a predictor of subsequent cognitive impairment while accounting for risk factors and eventual neuropathologies.Methods: Subjects (n 5 531) enrolled while cognitively intact at the University of Kentucky were asked annually if they perceived changes in memory since their last visit. A multistate model estimated when transition to impairment occurred while adjusting for intervening death. Risk factors affecting the timing and probability of an impairment were identified. The association between SMCs and Alzheimer-type neuropathology was assessed from autopsies (n 5 243).Results: SMCs were reported by more than half (55.7%) of the cohort, and were associated with increased risk of impairment (unadjusted odds ratio 5 2.8, p , 0.0001). Mild cognitive impairment (dementia) occurred 9.2 (12.1) years after SMC. Multistate modeling showed that SMC reporters with an APOE e4 allele had double the odds of impairment (adjusted odds ratio 5 2.2, p 5 0.036). SMC smokers took less time to transition to mild cognitive impairment, while SMC hormone-replaced women took longer to transition directly to dementia. Among participants (n 5 176) who died without a diagnosed clinical impairment, SMCs were associated with elevated neuritic amyloid plaques in the neocortex and medial temporal lobe.Conclusion: SMC reporters are at a higher risk of future cognitive impairment and have higher levels of Alzheimer-type brain pathology even when impairment does not occur. As potential harbingers of future cognitive decline, physicians should query and monitor SMCs from their older patients. Neurology ® 2014;83:1359-1365 GLOSSARY AD 5 Alzheimer disease; BRAiNS 5 Biologically Resilient Adults in Neurological Studies; CERAD 5 Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease; HRT 5 hormone replacement therapy; MCI 5 mild cognitive impairment; MTL 5 medial temporal lobe; NFT 5 neurofibrillary tangle; NP 5 neuritic plaque; NSI 5 no serious impairment; OR 5 odds ratio; SMC 5 subjective memory complaint.Subjective memory complaints (SMCs) may signal increased risk of progression into clinically recognized states of impairment, namely, mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia. [1][2][3][4][5] Although prior studies use incident dementia as an endpoint, there is a need to consider the effect of SMC on the occurrence of MCI as well. 6 Little is known about risk factors associated with the occurrence of SMCs other than depression or poor psychological well-being.7 SMCs may reflect aspects of metamemory, as older adults monitor their own forgetting.8 Persons with SMC may show MRI-based hippocampal atrophy, a finding also seen in MCI.9 Finally, while Alzheimer disease (AD)-type neuropathologic changes occur years before clinical symptoms are detectable, only a few studies link SMC to neuropathology 10,11 or to biomarkers.
2We hypothesized that baseline cognitively intact subjects who declared an SMC would be at a higher risk of a cognitive impa...