Abstract:Public monetary governance and private market practices are closely entangled. Monetary policy depends on private financial infrastructures. At the same time, central banks exert considerable influence on market structures and practices. This paper presents the theoretical rationale for analyzing state-finance interactions through the lens of infrastructural entanglement and infrastructural power. We then apply this perspective to two crucial cases, showing how and why the Federal Reserve and the European Cent… Show more
“…The need for safe-assets (bonds) to serve as collateral for shadow money creation has lowered yields on sovereign debt repo with clear implications for 25 governments as well as other market participants. An extended model of sovereign bond holders should then not only distinguish between foreign and domestic, but also consider the role that shadow banks as bond holders play in the dynamics of market discipline, structural and infrastructural power (Braun and Gabor, 2019). Finally, it would be interesting to assess whether governments' interpretations of 'what investors want' is more accurate for different investor groups.…”
This article scrutinizes the impact of foreign bond ownership on market discipline, that is the mutual responsiveness of financial markets and sovereign borrowers. The empirical investigation covers 12 advanced economies during the Great Moderation (1981–2008). This article finds no evidence that foreign bond investors affect the sensitivity of bond spreads to fiscal policy. Reversely, results show that government responsiveness to market pressure is contingent on the make-up of its investor base. Bond spreads spur on fiscal consolidation. The larger the share of foreign bond investors, the bigger this effect.
“…The need for safe-assets (bonds) to serve as collateral for shadow money creation has lowered yields on sovereign debt repo with clear implications for 25 governments as well as other market participants. An extended model of sovereign bond holders should then not only distinguish between foreign and domestic, but also consider the role that shadow banks as bond holders play in the dynamics of market discipline, structural and infrastructural power (Braun and Gabor, 2019). Finally, it would be interesting to assess whether governments' interpretations of 'what investors want' is more accurate for different investor groups.…”
This article scrutinizes the impact of foreign bond ownership on market discipline, that is the mutual responsiveness of financial markets and sovereign borrowers. The empirical investigation covers 12 advanced economies during the Great Moderation (1981–2008). This article finds no evidence that foreign bond investors affect the sensitivity of bond spreads to fiscal policy. Reversely, results show that government responsiveness to market pressure is contingent on the make-up of its investor base. Bond spreads spur on fiscal consolidation. The larger the share of foreign bond investors, the bigger this effect.
“…Indeed, during the euro crisis EU authorities protected the status of bonds as safe assets to secure the operation of interbank lending. For its part, by continuing to accept bonds as collateral and using them to conduct monetary policy (Braun and Gabor 2019), the ECB also contributes to making them safe. All this runs counter to the very logic of market discipline based on the principle of creditor risk.…”
This article proposes a critical reading of market discipline and its limitations as a mechanism in European economic governance. Consistent with neoliberal beliefs about market-based governance, the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) is premised on the functioning of the government bond market as a fiscal-policy discipliner. However, the operation of market discipline requires that neither governments nor their private creditors can rely on an authority to bail them out. It therefore precludes the kinds of intervention by Eurozone's supranational institutions witnessed during the euro crisis. In the post-crisis context, efforts to strengthen market discipline continue to be frustrated by the growing reliance of financial institutions on government bond markets as well as the European Central Bank's (ECB) active participation in those markets. Having undermined the credibility of the market as an autonomous and apolitical mechanism of discipline, European economic governance struggles to come to terms with the rise of a supranational 'economic sovereign' in the Eurozone.
“…The second contribution derives from here. As recent studies have shown, central banking requires mobilising private infrastructures with oftentimes highly contingent outcomes (Walter and Wansleben 2019, Braun and Gabor 2020, Dutta 2020. By extending this line of analysis to the international level, this article locates the politics of swap interventions in the infrastructural problem of what makes the global dollar system 'governable' from the perspective of the Federal Reserve.…”
Since the use of swap lines during the global financial crisis, the Federal Reserve is widely seen as international lender of last resort. Yet the focus on emergency liquidity assistance tends to obscure the broader significance of swap lines for US monetary governance. As this article shows, swap lines have historically played a crucial and evolving role in structuring and facilitating specific practices of offshore Eurodollar liquidity production in the interest of US monetary policy. A key contemporary example can be found in the uptake of swap lines during the Covid-19 market turmoil in early 2020: swap lines alleviated offshore dollar funding conditions to such an extent that they also triggered reverse inflows of dollar liquidity back into the US. More than simply providing a backstop to the global system, these swap interventions effectively restructured cross-border financial flows in a way that afforded the Fed greater control over domestic markets. Yet as the capacity to influence global liquidity conditions appears increasingly crucial to the Federal Reserve's control over domestic monetary conditions, these interventions pose broader questions about its role in managing instable and evolving cross-border credit relations that link domestic and global markets.
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