Central Asia: Views from Washington, Moscow, and Beijing

Rumer, Eugene B.; Trenin, Dmitri; Zhao, Huasheng

doi:10.4324/9781315289533

Cited by 9 publications

(11 citation statements)

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“…Qoraboyev (2010: 225) argues that there is "the shift from Central Asian regional integration to the Eurasian regional integration" under the leadership of Russia, which may lead to "the emergence of new regional system." Similarly, other scholars, considering hard, soft power capabilities and proposed initiatives of Russia, China and the US, hint at the possibility and prospects of regional integration or regionalism via major powers in Central Asia (Tang, 2000;Schirm, 2002;Buzan and Waever, 2003;Wu and Chen, 2004;Starr, 2005aStarr, , 2005bRumer, Trenin, and Zhao, 2007;Kavalski, 2010;Zhengyuan, 2010, Linn, 2012 Putin proposed a new vision of regional economic and security cooperation of the Eurasian countries. He also proposed the creation of new political-economic bloc, known as the Eurasian Union which, in his view, would enable its member states to "become leaders of global growth and civilized progress, and to attain success and prosperity" (Putin, 2011).…”

Section: Uluslararası Sosyal Bilimler Dergisimentioning

confidence: 99%

Büyük Güçler Aracılığıyla Bölgesel Bütünleşme : Rusya'nın Avrasya Ekonomik Birliği, Çin'in İpek Yolu Ekonomik Kuşağı ve ABD'nin Yeni İpek Yolu Projesi

Omonkulov¹,

Baba²

2019

Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi Uluslararası Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi

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Great and regional powers have been trying to influence/control Central Asia's (CA) political-economic fabric and development for the sake of their own strategic interests via different politico-economic schemes. Especially, Russia, China and the US are competing to inject their individual regional integration models for reducing the influence of other great and regional powers. These models fall in the category of extra-regional integration projects, which promote different structured approaches. This paper explores the viability and major impacts of great power-induced regional integration and their repercussions. It argues that these projects are developed by and biased towards preserving the influence of major powers, and lack viable framework to bring both global and regional players into a path of long-term cooperation. Even if the great powers' regional integration approaches are divergent from each other, their common point the asymmetry they apply when they are approaching the region. Primarily they prioritized their own strategic interests while discarding CA states' expectations to a significant extent. However, if implemented successfully, it cannot be ruled out that these projects may bring socioeconomic benefits to CA countries at the expense of political independence.

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Section: Uluslararası Sosyal Bilimler Dergisimentioning

confidence: 99%

Büyük Güçler Aracılığıyla Bölgesel Bütünleşme : Rusya'nın Avrasya Ekonomik Birliği, Çin'in İpek Yolu Ekonomik Kuşağı ve ABD'nin Yeni İpek Yolu Projesi

Omonkulov¹,

Baba²

2019

Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi Uluslararası Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi

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“…The US officials have disavowed assertions that US oil policy in Central Asia is driven by a zero-sum game mentality or that the United States is playing a ‘New Great Game’ (Rumer, 2007). Yet the United States has deliberately advocated plans for pipelines routes that would bypass Russia and Iran.…”

Section: The Great Power Game In Central Asiamentioning

confidence: 99%

Energy Geopolitics and the New Great Game in Central Asia

Pradhan

2021

Millennial Asia

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Energy has become the symbol of 21st-century geopolitics. Asia in this geopolitical game is considered to be the ground zero. As of 2021, at least a quarter of the world’s liquid hydrocarbons are consumed by China, India, Japan and South Korea. Over the next 20 years, 85% of the growth in energy consumption will come from the Indo-Pacific region. According to the World Energy Outlook, China will account for 40% of the growing consumption until 2025, after which India will emerge as the biggest single source of increasing demand. The increase in demand for gas will overtake that for oil and coal combined. Part of the story here is that the Indo-Pacific region will become increasingly reliant on oil from the Middle East and Central Asia. By 2030, 80% of Chinese oil will be imported while 90% in the case of India. But Japan and South Korea will remain 100% dependent on oil imports. Where from these huge amounts of oil and gas will come? The scramble for oil and gas in Central Asia probably is the right answer to the question asked. To materialize the quest for oil and energy, many countries although lately but turned towards Central Asia for sure. With this premise, the present article attempts to contextualize the geopolitics of energy in Central Asia and tries to investigate the nature and contour of the great game while illustrating the unflinching importance of the region for global energy security in general and the Indian energy security in particular.

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“…Fourth, the international reputation of the nations would face up and downs due to the state builder dilemma, and both nations would have to take bolder actions in gaining influences. Sixth, both sides have unconsciously agreed to prevent the emergence of the third great power, which would be easily created in the breeding ground of Central Asia if no conflict exists; hence US and Russia will still maintain this conflict and balance within years to come [12]. For the Ukraine Crisis, the U.S.-Russia conflict will constantly happen in Europe caused by their ideology difference.…”

Section: Us-russia Relation Is More Intense Than Us-china Relationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Emerging International Security Threat: US-Russia Competition

Zairan¹,

Junran²,

Zhu³

2020

Proceedings of the 2020 4th International Seminar on Education, Management and Social Sciences (ISEMSS 2020)

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This article analyzes the rival of superpowers--U.S.-Russia. and U.S.-China, compare the relationship and probability of escalation conflicts between these two superpowers. The U.S.-Russia relation is analyzed by looking through regional conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe and the ideology difference embed in the conflicts. Also, by identifying the probability of escalation to larger discords between the US and China, the relation between U.S.-China is expanded clearly. By comparing these two superpower relations, we conclude that the probability of the escalation of the tensions is more likely to happen in the U.S.-Russia case compare to the U.S.-China relation. This article ends with policy recommendations to each nation in avoiding conflicts and developing more peaceful relations between superpowers.

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Central Asia: Views from Washington, Moscow, and Beijing

Cited by 9 publications

References 0 publications

Büyük Güçler Aracılığıyla Bölgesel Bütünleşme : Rusya'nın Avrasya Ekonomik Birliği, Çin'in İpek Yolu Ekonomik Kuşağı ve ABD'nin Yeni İpek Yolu Projesi

Büyük Güçler Aracılığıyla Bölgesel Bütünleşme : Rusya'nın Avrasya Ekonomik Birliği, Çin'in İpek Yolu Ekonomik Kuşağı ve ABD'nin Yeni İpek Yolu Projesi

Energy Geopolitics and the New Great Game in Central Asia

Emerging International Security Threat: US-Russia Competition

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