Objective: To examine the effects of interferon beta (IFN)-1b on all-cause mortality over 21 years in the cohort of 372 patients who participated in the pivotal randomized clinical trial (RCT), retaining (in the analysis) the original randomized treatment-assignments.
Methods:For this randomized long-term cohort study, the primary outcome, defined before data collection, was the comparison of all-cause mortality between the IFN-1b 250 g and placebo groups from the time of randomization through the entire 21-year follow-up interval (intention-totreat, log-rank test for Kaplan-Meier survival curves). All other survival outcomes were secondary.Results: After a median of 21.1 years from RCT enrollment, 98.4% (366 of 372) of patients were identified, and, of these, 81 deaths were recorded (22.1% [81 of 366]). Patients originally randomly assigned to IFN-1b 250 g showed a significant reduction in all-cause mortality over the 21-year period compared with placebo (p ϭ 0.0173), with a hazard ratio of 0.532 (95% confidence interval 0.314-0.902). The hazard rate of death at long-term follow-up by Kaplan-Meier estimates was reduced by 46.8% among IFN-1b 250 g-treated patients (46.0% among IFN-1b 50 g-treated patients) compared with placebo. Baseline variables did not influence the observed treatment effect.
Conclusions:There was a significant survival advantage in this cohort of patients receiving early IFN-1b treatment at either dose compared with placebo. Near-complete ascertainment, together with confirmatory findings from both active treatment groups, strengthens the evidence for an IFN-1b benefit on all-cause mortality.
Classification of Evidence:This study provides Class III evidence that early treatment with IFN-1b is associated with prolonged survival in initially treatment-naive patients with relapsingremitting multiple sclerosis. Neurology Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic, inflammatory disease of the CNS with a lifelong course, necessitating outcome assessments over both the short term and long term.1 However, randomized clinical trials (RCTs) have typically focused only on short-term outcomes such as clinical measures of relapse and physical disability, as well as MRI measures of disease activity and severity.2-8 Although survival is the ultimate long-term outcome, to date mortality in patients with MS treated with disease-modifying therapy (DMT) has not been well-studied, largely because of the length and completeness of observation needed. 9 *These authors contributed equally to this work.