Causal inference and forescasting methods for climate data nalysis
Riccardo Silini
Abstract:To advance time series forecasting we need to progress on multiple fronts. In this thesis, we develop algorithms to identify causal relations which allow to identify the driving processes containing useful information for the prediction of the process of interest. Complementing this, machine learning algorithms allow to exploit such information to build data-driven forecast models, and to correct the prediction of dynamical models. The identification from time series analysis of reliable indicators of causal r… Show more
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