Case Study on Dynamic Scenario Model for Smart City

Abstract

Disaster resilience is important for a smart city. Analyzing disaster cases within a scenario-based analytical framework provides an effective way to acquire specific experience in disaster prevention and emergency management. This study proposes a dynamic scenario model, which consists of developing scenario representation and developing scenario sequence. Developing scenario representation provides a normalized representation framework for disaster scenarios. Meanwhile, how to make the representation contributes to severity evaluation is discussed. Developing scenario sequence establishes dependencies among disaster scenarios to show the whole disaster evolution of disaster cases. A disaster case of a crude oil tank is taken as an example to give a better understanding of the dynamic scenario model. The result shows that the dynamic scenario model can establish a more structurally and normalized representation for disaster scenarios. Furthermore, the model also provides an intuitive way for evaluation of disaster consequence severity, which helps in improving the situation awareness of the disaster.