Carrot or Stick? The Efficacy of Incentives and Sanctions for Improving Probation Supervision Outcomes

Abstract

The current study examined the role of sanctions and incentives in improving community supervision outcomes, utilizing data collected from 300 individuals under probation supervision by the Denver Adult Probation Department. The research expanded the current literature by addressing two important existing gaps. First, we included supervision failure due to absconding as a unique dependent variable. Second, we controlled for client behavior to enhance our confidence in study findings. Findings revealed no evidence in support of the use of sanctions to improve supervision outcomes. Incentives, however, were associated with both an increased likelihood of supervision completion and a lower incidence of criminal offending. Study findings suggest a need to prioritize efforts to integrate incentive use into everyday supervision practices, as well as a need to increase funding to support the research and development of incentive programs to guide agencies in creating and sustaining programs that will have the greatest impact.