Carbon emission assessment in China based on comprehensive model

Abstract

Carbon emissions are an important research topic of ecological security, which has a significant impact on the realization of "dual carbon" strategy. With the methods of the STIRPAT model, LMDI factor decomposition, and Tapio decoupling, the status of China's carbon emissions was analyzed based on the data in the past 10 years, and the trend of China's carbon emissions was evaluated from 2020 to 2030. The study finds that: (1) The growth momentum of carbon emissions has slowed down, but the overall trend of carbon emissions is positive; (2) Economic scale and energy intensity are the core factors affecting carbon emissions, while industrial structure, population size, and energy structure have limited influence on carbon emissions; (3) China's economic development and carbon emissions are in a weak decoupling state, but the overall decoupling trend is good, and all factors are making efforts to decouple in a positive direction. The study deepens the understanding of carbon emissions, and the following countermeasures are formed: (1) Firming the implementation of the "dual carbon" strategy to effectively intervene the carbon emissions in China; (2) Highlighting the high-quality economic development to strengthen the positive effect of economic scale on carbon emissions; (3) Improving the energy utilization rate to enhance the inhibitory effect of energy intensity on carbon emissions; (4) Innovating a new development model to strengthen the systematic planning of factors affecting carbon emissions.

A Review Research on the correlations among Carbon Emissions, Industrial Structure, and Economic Growth

“…The focus of future energy conservation and emission reduction needs to gradually shift from these highenergy-consumption industries. He Yonggui et al [6] studied carbon emissions, their changing trends, and the relationship between the industrial structure of China using the improved STIRPAT model.…”