Can ultra short-term changes in ambient temperature trigger myocardial infarction?

Rowland, Sebastian T.; Boehme, Amelia K; Rush, Johnathan; Just, Allan C.; Kioumourtzoglou, Marianthi-Anna

doi:10.1016/j.envint.2020.105910

Cited by 26 publications

(42 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…These parameters were empirically determined according to previous literatures. 15 , 19 , 20 Then, we included this cross-basis function in a conditional logistic regression model to estimate the association between ambient temperature and AMI onset, adjusting for a binary indicator of public holidays and a natural cubic spline with 3 df for relative humidity (0–21 days average prior to the case or control hour). The odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of AMI were derived from the conditional logistic models by comparing a given temperature to the referent temperature with the lowest AMI risk.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Prior evidence has suggested that the associations of high temperature with cardiovascular diseases appeared very immediately and were occasionally accompanied by a displacement of mortality or morbidity (the so-called harvesting effect). 20 , 23 Thus, we additionally conducted an exploratory analysis to assess the potential associations between heat and AMI onset using hourly temperatures for up to 72 h.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Non-optimum temperature increases risk and burden of acute myocardial infarction onset: A nationwide case-crossover study at hourly level in 324 Chinese cities

Jiang

et al. 2022

eClinicalMedicine

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Non-optimum temperature increases risk and burden of acute myocardial infarction onset: A nationwide case-crossover study at hourly level in 324 Chinese cities

Jiang

et al. 2022

eClinicalMedicine

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“…For instance, Rowland et al . (2020) assessed the impact of hourly temperature predictions on myocardial infarctions incidence in New York State, finding critical windows of exposure in the hours leading up to the onset of the event (Rowland et al ., 2020). With the development of computational resources, numerical models like the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model offer an alternative for capturing high‐resolution characteristics of urban climate and have been successful at simulating 2 m Ta and extreme Ta episodes such as UHIs (Yang et al ., 2012; Jandaghian et al ., 2018; Li et al ., 2019).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In epidemiology, there is a growing need for daily intracity Ta estimates (i.e., 1 × 1 km or higher resolution), as Ta effects on human health often occur at fine spatial and temporal scales (Mostofsky et al ., 2014; Phung et al ., 2016; Rowland et al ., 2020; Venter et al ., 2020. To date, many health studies only use Ta data from ground stations (Zanobetti and O'Neill, 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A spatiotemporal reconstruction of daily ambient temperature using satellite data in the Megalopolis of Central Mexico from 2003 to 2019

Gutiérrez-Ávila

Arfer

Wong

et al. 2021

Intl Journal of Climatology

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While weather stations generally capture near‐surface ambient air temperature (Ta) at a high temporal resolution to calculate daily values (i.e., daily minimum, mean, and maximum Ta), their fixed locations can limit their spatial coverage and resolution even in densely populated urban areas. As a result, data from weather stations alone may be inadequate for Ta‐related epidemiology particularly when the stations are not located in the areas of interest for human exposure assessment. To address this limitation in the Megalopolis of Central Mexico (MCM), we developed the first spatiotemporally resolved hybrid satellite‐based land use regression Ta model for the region, home to nearly 30 million people and includes Mexico City and seven more metropolitan areas. Our model predicted daily minimum, mean, and maximum Ta for the years 2003–2019. We used data from 120 weather stations and Land Surface Temperature (LST) data from NASA's MODIS instruments on the Aqua and Terra satellites on a 1 × 1 km grid. We generated a satellite‐hybrid mixed‐effects model for each year, regressing Ta measurements against land use terms, day‐specific random intercepts, and fixed and random LST slopes. We assessed model performance using 10‐fold cross‐validation at withheld stations. Across all years, the root‐mean‐square error ranged from 0.92 to 1.92 K and the R2 ranged from .78 to .95. To demonstrate the utility of our model for health research, we evaluated the total number of days in the year 2010 when residents ≥65 years old were exposed to Ta extremes (above 30°C or below 5°C). Our model provides much needed high‐quality Ta estimates for epidemiology studies in the MCM region.

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“… 10 11 Some have also identified a significant effect of summer average/diurnal SAT on CVD mortality among men aged <65 years. 11–13 Social determinants, including the low prevalence of residential air-conditioning in Europe, may contribute to such variance. 9 14 …”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Warmer summer nocturnal surface air temperatures and cardiovascular disease death risk: a population-based study

Majeed

Floras

2022

BMJ Open

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BackgroundIn recent summers, some populous mid-latitude to high-latitude regions have experienced greater heat intensity, more at night than by day. Such warming has been associated with increased cause-specific adult mortality. Sex-specific and age-specific associations between summer nocturnal surface air temperatures (SAT) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths have yet to be established.MethodsA monthly time series analysis (June–July, 2001–2015) was performed on sex-specific CVD deaths in England and Wales of adults aged 60–64 and 65–69 years. Using negative binomial regression with autocorrelative residuals, associations between summer (June–July) nocturnal SAT anomalies (primary exposure) and CVD death rates (outcome) were computed, controlling for key covariates. To explore external validity, similar associations with respect to CVD death in King County, Washington, USA, also were calculated, but only for men aged 60–64 and 65–69 years. Results are reported as incidence rate ratios.ResultsFrom 2001 to 2015, within these specific cohorts, 39 912 CVD deaths (68.9% men) were recorded in England and Wales and 488 deaths in King County. In England and Wales, after controlling for covariates, a 1°C rise in anomalous summer nocturnal SAT associated significantly with a 3.1% (95% CI 0.3% to 5.9%) increased risk of CVD mortality among men aged 60–64, but not older men or either women age groups. In King County, after controlling for covariates, a 1°C rise associated significantly with a 4.8% (95% CI 1.7% to 8.1%) increased risk of CVD mortality among those <65 years but not older men.ConclusionIn two mid-latitude regions, warmer summer nights are accompanied by an increased risk of death from CVD among men aged 60–64 years.

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Can ultra short-term changes in ambient temperature trigger myocardial infarction?

Cited by 26 publications

References 41 publications

Non-optimum temperature increases risk and burden of acute myocardial infarction onset: A nationwide case-crossover study at hourly level in 324 Chinese cities

Non-optimum temperature increases risk and burden of acute myocardial infarction onset: A nationwide case-crossover study at hourly level in 324 Chinese cities

A spatiotemporal reconstruction of daily ambient temperature using satellite data in the Megalopolis of Central Mexico from 2003 to 2019

Warmer summer nocturnal surface air temperatures and cardiovascular disease death risk: a population-based study

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