2014
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2442721
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Can Tax Rate Increases Foster Investment Under Entry and Exit Flexibility? - Insights from an Economic Experiment

Abstract: ABSTRACT:It is well-known that taxes affect risky investment decisions. Analytical studies indicate that tax rate increases (decreases) can foster (hinder) investment if there is flexibility, in particular when an exit option is available. We design an experiment based on an analytical model with binomial random walk and entry and exit flexibility. Contrasting the underlying model, we find accelerated investment, which is often considered as an increased willingness to invest, on tax rate increases to be indep… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Our model theoretically describes effects found in laboratory experiments as the mentally overestimation of losses or loss offset opportunities in Fochmann, Kiesewetter and Sadrieh (2012) or Fahr, Janssen and Sureth (2014) and Amberger, Eberhartinger and Kasper (2016). Thus, we provide a descriptive model for the yet unexplained experimental evidence for tax-induced biased perception of risky investments.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 89%
“…Our model theoretically describes effects found in laboratory experiments as the mentally overestimation of losses or loss offset opportunities in Fochmann, Kiesewetter and Sadrieh (2012) or Fahr, Janssen and Sureth (2014) and Amberger, Eberhartinger and Kasper (2016). Thus, we provide a descriptive model for the yet unexplained experimental evidence for tax-induced biased perception of risky investments.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 89%
“…The framing of a tax reduction as a bonus instead of a tax rebate or as increase in monthly income instead of a reduction of the monthly tax burden affects spending behavior (e.g., Epley et al, 2006). Fahr et al (2014) find that the presence of an exit option seems to be irrelevant for (affects) investment timing in the case of an experienced tax rate decrease (increase). Mehrmann and Sureth-Sloane (2017) analytically show that tax loss offset restrictions significantly bias investor perception even more heavily than the tax rate.…”
Section: Prospect Theorymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They find in an experiment that subjects entitled to claim a tax refund take significantly less risk than those who have to pay an additional tax. The influence of tax rate changes on the timing of risky investments as well as entry and exit flexibility is studied by Fahr et al (2014). An exit option seems irrelevant for investment timing in the case of an experienced tax rate decrease, but not in the case of a tax rate increase.…”
Section: Tax Misperception Investment Decisions and Risk-takingmentioning
confidence: 99%