Can India grow and live within a 1.5 degree CO2 emissions budget?

Parikh, Kirit S.; Parikh, Jyoti; Ghosh, Probal P.

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2018.05.014

Cited by 22 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 22 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Across all scenarios, industrial energy is estimated to increase 1.6-3.5 times by 2030 and 3.1-6.2 times by 2050, relative to 2019 (figure 5). Economic development and government initiatives such as 'Make in India' will likely promote this growth (Mittal et al 2018, Parikh et al 2018, du Can et al 2019.…”

Section: Industrymentioning

confidence: 99%

Developing new pathways for energy and environmental decision-making in India: a review

Durga

Evans

Clarke

et al. 2022

Environ. Res. Lett.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

India faces a dual challenge of economic development and responding to climate change. Although India’s per capita emissions are well below global average, the country is one of the world’s largest greenhouse gas emitters. Indian policymakers and stakeholders require high-quality data and research to assess low-emissions, sustainable development strategies. Peer-reviewed literature is a key source of this information and also a key venue for conversation amongst research leaders. This paper examines the recent peer-reviewed literature on India's 2030 and 2050 pathways. We conducted a systematic literature review to identify key quantitative national modeling studies. From the 34 studies identified, we synthesized scenario data to draw common conclusions and identify critical research gaps. The main focus was on examining the coverage and the state of information available on low-carbon pathways. Overall, we find a few scenarios that are potentially consistent with a 2070 net-zero goal, but more limited assessment of pathways to reach net-zero emissions before this date. Mitigation pathways with greater ambition are required across all energy sectors to ensure a smooth transition to net-zero emissions by or before 2070. The scenarios confirm that reducing emissions to below 2 GtCO2/year by mid-century would necessitate significant transformations of the Indian energy sector, such as, a decrease in unabated coal power capacity, transportation modal shift, and industrial process switching. The assessment also finds substantial differences in final energy estimates reported across studies, particularly in transportation. The lack of consistency in, and transparency about underlying drivers, assumptions, and even outputs across studies points to the critical need for the sorts of coordinated, multi-model studies that have proven exceptionally valuable for decision makers in other major emitting countries.

show abstract

Section: Industrymentioning

confidence: 99%

Developing new pathways for energy and environmental decision-making in India: a review

Durga

Evans

Clarke

et al. 2022

Environ. Res. Lett.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The development and transfer of technologies is another enabler for developing countries to contribute to the requirements of the 1.5°C objective while achieving climate resilience and their socio-economic development goals (see Chapter 4, Section 4.4.4). Internationallevel governance would be needed to boost domestic innovation and the deployment of new technologies, such as negative emission technologies, towards the 1.5°C objective (see Chapter 4, Section 4.3.7), but the alignment with local needs depends on close consideration of the specificities of the domestic context in countries at all levels of development (de Coninck and Sagar, 2015;IEA, 2015;Parikh et al, 2018). Technology transfer supporting development in developing countries would require an understanding of local and national actors and institutions (de Coninck and Puig, 2015;de Coninck and Sagar, 2017;Michaelowa et al, 2018), careful attention to the capacities in the entire innovation chain (Khosla et al, 2017;Olawuyi, 2017) and transfer of not only equipment but also knowledge (medium evidence, high agreement) (Murphy et al, 2015).…”

Section: Finance and Technology Aligned With Local Needsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sustainable Development, Poverty Eradication and Reducing Inequalities

Roy

Tschakert

Waisman

et al. 2022

Global Warming of 1.5°C

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Among key modelling studies that have looked at long-term low carbon development pathways for India recently, Shukla et al (2015) and Gupta et al (2019) adopted the approach of combining a bottom-up cost optimization model on the energy supply side, with a top-down economy-wide model on the demand side to analyze different 2°C compatible macroeconomic scenarios for India up to 2050. Parikh et al (2018) explored three technology policy scenarios in the context of a 1.5°C carbon budget for India, using a hybrid, economy-wide optimization model. The International Energy Agency (IEA), in its India Energy Outlook 2021, presented four energy policy scenarios up to 2040, taking into account economic and technological impacts, using its World Energy Model (WEM) simulation model (IEA 2021b).…”

Section: Motivation For the Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

Pathways for Decarbonizing India’s Energy Future: Scenario Analysis Using the India Energy Policy Simulator

Swamy¹,

Mitra²,

Agarwal³

et al. 2021

WRIPUB

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This working paper explores two climate policy packages or scenarios for India corresponding to differing medium- and long-term decarbonization objectives using the India Energy Policy Simulator (EPS), an open-source, systems dynamics model. The analysis enables the identification of cost-effective policy options across different economic sectors and timeframes for low- carbon development in India, as well as potential trade-offs and co-benefits between climate policies and development priorities.

show abstract

Can India grow and live within a 1.5 degree CO2 emissions budget?

Cited by 22 publications

References 22 publications

Developing new pathways for energy and environmental decision-making in India: a review

Developing new pathways for energy and environmental decision-making in India: a review

Sustainable Development, Poverty Eradication and Reducing Inequalities

Pathways for Decarbonizing India’s Energy Future: Scenario Analysis Using the India Energy Policy Simulator

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About