Can domestic tourism relieve the COVID-19 tourist industry crisis? The case of Spain

Arbulú, Italo; Razumova, Maria; Rey‐Maquieira, Javier; Sastre, Francesc

doi:10.1016/j.jdmm.2021.100568

Cited by 172 publications

(138 citation statements)

References 54 publications

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“…First, the use of the Monte Carlo model contributes to the empirical testing of models and theory. To the authors' knowledge, using Monte Carlo modelling to predict tourism arrivals in pandemics has not yet been done, with the exception of the work of Arbulú et al (2021) . Second, it reduces to some extent the imbalances in risk management research theme coverage by focusing on vulnerability factors in tourism sector for a specific and understudied type of hazard, namely, a pandemic.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Our results also have one special implication for the understanding of the role of domestic tourism in relieving the tourism industry crisis ( UNWTO, 2020b ) in the Balearic Islands. Although domestic travellers are unlikely to fill the void of international tourists in this destination ( Arbulú, Razumova, Rey-Maquieira, & Sastre, 2021 ), domestic tourism can still be considered an important driver of destination resilience. Finally, there is an implication referring to the operation of so-called “safe corridors” simulated by scenarios C and D. The development of “safe corridors” depends on the development of disease control measures in the destination and in the origin markets, such as immunity passports and provision of up-to-date information on new contagions and on the effect of new virus variants ( ECDC: Stockholm , 2021 ; The New York Times, 2021 ).…”

Section: Measuring the Economic Risks And Vulnerability Of The Balearic Islandsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Measuring risks and vulnerability of tourism to the COVID-19 crisis in the context of extreme uncertainty: The case of the Balearic Islands

Arbulú

Razumova

Rey‐Maquieira

et al. 2021

Tourism Management Perspectives

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The COVID-19 crisis is dramatically affecting the world economy and, particularly, the tourism sector. In the context of extreme uncertainty, the use of probabilistic forecasting models is especially suitable. We use Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate the outcomes of four possible tourism demand recovery scenarios in the Balearic Islands, which are further used to measure the risks and vulnerability of Balearic economy to the COVID-19 crisis. Our results show that fear of contagion and loss of income in tourism emitting countries will result in a maximum 89% drop in arrivals in the Balearic Islands in 2020.Given that most tourism-related occupations are not highly skilled and are characterized by lower salaries, there are greater risks of loss of welfare, especially for women, who are a major share of the tourism labour force.The model shows important differences among minimum, average and maximum estimates for tourism sector production in 2021, reflecting considerable uncertainty regarding the speed of the sector's recovery. The results serve as a basis to prepare a range of policies to reduce destination vulnerability under different crisis outcomes.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Measuring the Economic Risks And Vulnerability Of The Balearic Islandsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Measuring risks and vulnerability of tourism to the COVID-19 crisis in the context of extreme uncertainty: The case of the Balearic Islands

Arbulú

Razumova

Rey‐Maquieira

et al. 2021

Tourism Management Perspectives

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In the growing literature on the COVID-19 pandemic, there are several arguments that domestic tourism is likely to be the first to recover (Arbulú et al, 2021;Neuburger & Egger, 2021). After the initial wave of the pandemic, mobility and travel was largely unrestricted in several countries in the summer of 2020.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

High regional economic activity repels domestic tourism during summer of pandemic

Falk

Hagsten

Lin

2021

Current Issues in Tourism

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This study investigates empirically how the regional economic activity, measured as the agglomeration of establishments, affects domestic travel and tourism flows during the COVID-19 summer of 2020. Domestic tourism flows are approximated by the number of overnight stays in all 96 French regions. Results from spatial estimations reveal that lower economic activity attracts more domestic tourists. This relationship becomes inflated if the neighbouring areas are characterized by equally sparse economic activity. In July and August 2020, regions with a 10% lower density of establishments (combined effect of within the same region and surrounding regions) have a between one and two percentage points higher growth rate in domestic overnight stays than others. The share of second homes is also significantly and positively related to domestic tourism. Coastal regions and regions surrounded by national parks have a larger growth in domestic overnight stays in August 2020 (by 15 and 24 percentage points, respectively). The counterfactual estimations based on data for the years prior to the pandemic (2017-2019) reveal that regions with a high establishment density are growing in domestic tourism. The other local characteristics investigated are either insignificant (direct effects) or have the opposite sign (spillover effects).

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“…The COVID-19 crisis has revealed that tourism is not a priority. Limited, if not paralyzed, the mobility of travelers, the management of the crisis is oriented, at first, to the impact and losses that will affect the sector economically, in addition to many other activities structured around tourism (Navarro Jurado et al 2020;Arbulú et al 2021). The most tangible negative consequences are the priority (Dolphin 2000).…”

Section: Tourism Destination Marketing and Communication In Time Of Crisismentioning

confidence: 99%

Tourism Advertising in Times of Crisis: The Case of Spain and COVID-19

Critikián¹,

Rodríguez-Terceño

Vallés

et al. 2021

Administrative Sciences

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The paralysis of tourist activity during the closure caused by the COVID-19 pandemic makes the communicative management of the crisis essential, especially for a country as reliant on tourism as Spain. The purpose of this research is to understand the values on which the communicative campaigns disseminated during and at the end of the “state of alarm” are built by applying an analysis based on those proposed by several authors focused on brand aspects, transmitters, persuasive and communicative elements, coherence, communicative objectives, and messages. The results show the existence of a national dialogue from the local and regional to the state level that aims to reinforce the image of the country and its main tourist demands while seeking to raise awareness (promise of consumption), through a message of hope, recovery, health, but also of enjoying the life associated with the tourist pleasures that Spain offers.

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Can domestic tourism relieve the COVID-19 tourist industry crisis? The case of Spain

Cited by 172 publications

References 54 publications

Measuring risks and vulnerability of tourism to the COVID-19 crisis in the context of extreme uncertainty: The case of the Balearic Islands

Measuring risks and vulnerability of tourism to the COVID-19 crisis in the context of extreme uncertainty: The case of the Balearic Islands

High regional economic activity repels domestic tourism during summer of pandemic

Tourism Advertising in Times of Crisis: The Case of Spain and COVID-19

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