2021
DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1987380
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Can COVID-19 induce governments to implement tax reforms in developing countries?

Abstract: We estimate that the short to medium-term fiscal impact of previous pandemics has been significant in 170 countries (including low-income countries) during the 2000-2018 period. The impact has varied, with pandemics affecting government expenditures more than revenues in advanced economies, while the converse applies to developing countries. Using a subset of 45 developing countries for which tax reform data are available, we find that past pandemics have propelled countries to implement tax reforms, particula… Show more

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Cited by 8 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…Robust standards errors are clustered at the country level. The computation of two confidence bands (90% and 68%) is quite standard in the literature (Gupta and Jalles, 2022).…”
Section: Empirical Specificationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Robust standards errors are clustered at the country level. The computation of two confidence bands (90% and 68%) is quite standard in the literature (Gupta and Jalles, 2022).…”
Section: Empirical Specificationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In seeking to answer that question, we are presented with two sharply contrasting potential outcomes. On one hand, periods of crisis have sometimes acted as catalysts for major expansions of taxation, and of more progressive forms of taxation in particular (e.g., Aidt and Jensen 2009;Gupta and Jalles 2022;Hartley, Sheffrin and Vasche 1996;Klug 2020;Landais, Saez and Zucman 2020;Pollack 2014;Waris 2021). This reflects that fact that crises have the potential to generate new political space for reform: they often increase pressure on governments to increase revenue while simultaneously driving greater public acceptance of taxation amidst an enhanced sense of social solidarity and visceral examples of the importance of public revenues.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%