Cable Temperature Prediction Based on RF-GPR for Digital Twin Applications

Abstract

With the wide application of power cables in the field of transmission and distribution and the increasing emphasis of power departments on the reliability, safety and stability of power cable operation, how to more accurately and quickly analyze the temperature distribution of power cables and how to evaluate the running state of power cables have become research hotspots. Through the combination of finite element calculation and the artificial intelligence method, an innovative method of digital twin cable temperature prediction based on RF-GPR is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the finite element method is used to calculate the coupling of the electromagnetic field and temperature field of a 10 kV AC cable laid in the cable trench, and a certain amount of basic data are provided through the finite element calculation results. Then, using the basic principle of the random forest (RF) variable importance score, the RF-GPR cable temperature prediction model is constructed using the series hybrid model and Gaussian process regression (GPR), the model prediction results are compared and analyzed, and the calculation time is improved by about 1500 times. Finally, a digital twinning platform for cable temperature calculation based on RF-GPR is designed, which provides technical support for the application of digital twinning.