Buying time: The effect of Market Facilitation Program payments on the supply of grain storage

Janzen, Joseph P.; Swearingen, Bryn; Yu, Jisang

doi:10.1002/jaa2.67

Cited by 1 publication

(1 citation statement)

References 24 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…For example, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, "agricultural lending declined during the second half of 2019" with "reduced loan demand likely also… due to an increase in revenue from government payments" (Kauffman & Kreitman, 2020). Empirical evidence suggests these payments raised inventories in the aggregate (Janzen et al 2023).…”

Section: Robustness: Instrumental Variables Regressionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Commodity storage and the cost of capital: Evidence from Illinois grain farms

Janzen,

Paulson,

Tsay

2023

American J Agri Economics

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Commodity inventories are the key state variable determining the magnitude of commodity price responses to supply and demand shocks. Many firms in commodity supply chains use storage, but we know little about which firms and why. The economic theory of storage asserts that firms in a competitive market for inventories will store based on current and expected market prices and the per‐unit cost of storing. We empirically test at the firm‐level the importance of one major cost of storage: the opportunity cost of capital used to value foregone revenue from deferred commodity sales. To do so, we use panel data from thousands of Illinois farms who hold inventories of corn and soybeans. Although interest rates as a measure of capital costs are unlikely to vary widely across firms in this context, we exploit variation in the weighted average cost of capital due to cross‐firm differences in capital structure. Using two‐way fixed effects regressions, we find a statistically significant average effect of capital costs on inventory that masks notable heterogeneity across firms. Panel quantile regressions reveal two groups of firms: one whose inventory holdings are responsive to changes in the opportunity cost of storage and another whose are not. Our results suggest some farms behave like the profit‐maximizing ones from theory but substantial inframarginal commodity inventories are held by farms for other reasons.

show abstract

Section: Robustness: Instrumental Variables Regressionmentioning

confidence: 99%