Abstract:Abstract. Downslope Sundowner winds in southern California's Santa Ynez Mountains favor wildfire growth. To explore differences between Sundowners and Santa Ana winds (SAWs), we use surface observations from 1979 to 2014 to develop a climatology of extreme Sundowner days. The climatology was compared to an existing SAW index from 1979 to 2012. Sundowner (SAW) occurrence peaks in late spring (winter). SAWs demonstrate amplified 500 hPa geopotential heights over western North America and anomalous positive inlan… Show more
“…The wind speed profile is characterized by a jet between 600 and 1,200 m above sea level (asl) whose magnitude is roughly 9–12 m/s depending on event strength. This is consistent with the northerly low‐level jet evident in composites presented in Hatchett et al (). The modeled jet is also present near the coast at Vandenberg, at the mouth of the Santa Ynez Valley, and at the offshore buoy stations (see Figure and Table for station locations).…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 91%
“…These winds can occur in the lee of fairly modest terrain such as northern New Jersey (Decker & Robinson, ) or the Falkland Islands (Mobbs et al, ). They also occur during Santa Ana conditions in and around coastal southern California (e.g., Cao & Fovell, ; Fovell and Cao, ); however, those are distinct from the phenomena we treat here (Hatchett et al, ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 53%
“…The coupling the alongshore coastal jet and the sea breeze also forces air parcels up and over the Santa Ynez range, leading to downslope windstorms on the southern slopes of the Santa Ynez range known as Sundowners. Sundowners exhibit the following notable characteristics (Smith et al, , hereafter referred to as SM18): Propensity to exhibit extreme temperature ramps (Figure ) outside of the typical diurnal cycle at downstream weather stations (i.e., Santa Barbara airport; Hatchett et al, ), while other regional stations do not experience a similar ramp.Association with large human caused conflagrations, including the Painted Cave, Montecito Tea, Jesusita, Sherpa, and Whittier fires (see fire perimeters on Figure , bottom).Initiation of the lee slope jet along the western side of the Santa Ynez range (near Gaviota) and progression of the lee slope high winds from west to east throughout the course of a day with a peak occurrence time in Santa Barbara near sunset (hence the name Sundowner).Seasonal modulation that matches the coastal alongshore north‐northwesterly jet and occurs contemporaneously with either transcritical or supercritical flow around Point Concepcion and the Southern California Bight (Dorman & Koraćin, ; Dorman & Winant, ; Parish et al, ; Parish et al, ; Rahn et al, ; Skyllingstad et al, ).…”
We use an 11-year numerically downscaled climatology to diagnose various characteristics of downslope windstorms known as Sundowners that occur along the Central California coast. At the surface, Sundowners are manifested as strong northerly winds along the southern slopes of the east-west trending Santa Ynez Mountains that are part of a lee slope jet forced by internal gravity wave breaking aloft. Our analysis shows that barotropic shallow water interfacial waves along an elevated inversion do not play any significant part in Sundowner dynamics. The mountain wave is forced on a diurnal basis by the synoptically driven strong jet of north-northwesterly winds located just offshore, which propagates into and through the Santa Ynez Valley. The occurrence of Sundowners is associated with a transcritical transition of the barotropic shallow water mode of the marine boundary layer around the Southern California Bight. The strength and presence of the alongshore jet are of primary importance in determining upstream profiles of wind speed and static stability and thus the magnitude and location of most Sundowner events. This is especially true for the relatively common and mild Gaviota-type events that frequently occur during spring in the western part of the range. We show that in a general sense, there is no distinct eastern or Montecito type of Sundowner event but rather a continuum of Sundowners based on wind direction upstream near ridgetop height. Montecito-type events tend to occur in conjunction with internal gravity wave breaking over the upstream San Rafael range that enhances mountain wave activity near Montecito. SMITH ET AL.13,092
“…The wind speed profile is characterized by a jet between 600 and 1,200 m above sea level (asl) whose magnitude is roughly 9–12 m/s depending on event strength. This is consistent with the northerly low‐level jet evident in composites presented in Hatchett et al (). The modeled jet is also present near the coast at Vandenberg, at the mouth of the Santa Ynez Valley, and at the offshore buoy stations (see Figure and Table for station locations).…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 91%
“…These winds can occur in the lee of fairly modest terrain such as northern New Jersey (Decker & Robinson, ) or the Falkland Islands (Mobbs et al, ). They also occur during Santa Ana conditions in and around coastal southern California (e.g., Cao & Fovell, ; Fovell and Cao, ); however, those are distinct from the phenomena we treat here (Hatchett et al, ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 53%
“…The coupling the alongshore coastal jet and the sea breeze also forces air parcels up and over the Santa Ynez range, leading to downslope windstorms on the southern slopes of the Santa Ynez range known as Sundowners. Sundowners exhibit the following notable characteristics (Smith et al, , hereafter referred to as SM18): Propensity to exhibit extreme temperature ramps (Figure ) outside of the typical diurnal cycle at downstream weather stations (i.e., Santa Barbara airport; Hatchett et al, ), while other regional stations do not experience a similar ramp.Association with large human caused conflagrations, including the Painted Cave, Montecito Tea, Jesusita, Sherpa, and Whittier fires (see fire perimeters on Figure , bottom).Initiation of the lee slope jet along the western side of the Santa Ynez range (near Gaviota) and progression of the lee slope high winds from west to east throughout the course of a day with a peak occurrence time in Santa Barbara near sunset (hence the name Sundowner).Seasonal modulation that matches the coastal alongshore north‐northwesterly jet and occurs contemporaneously with either transcritical or supercritical flow around Point Concepcion and the Southern California Bight (Dorman & Koraćin, ; Dorman & Winant, ; Parish et al, ; Parish et al, ; Rahn et al, ; Skyllingstad et al, ).…”
We use an 11-year numerically downscaled climatology to diagnose various characteristics of downslope windstorms known as Sundowners that occur along the Central California coast. At the surface, Sundowners are manifested as strong northerly winds along the southern slopes of the east-west trending Santa Ynez Mountains that are part of a lee slope jet forced by internal gravity wave breaking aloft. Our analysis shows that barotropic shallow water interfacial waves along an elevated inversion do not play any significant part in Sundowner dynamics. The mountain wave is forced on a diurnal basis by the synoptically driven strong jet of north-northwesterly winds located just offshore, which propagates into and through the Santa Ynez Valley. The occurrence of Sundowners is associated with a transcritical transition of the barotropic shallow water mode of the marine boundary layer around the Southern California Bight. The strength and presence of the alongshore jet are of primary importance in determining upstream profiles of wind speed and static stability and thus the magnitude and location of most Sundowner events. This is especially true for the relatively common and mild Gaviota-type events that frequently occur during spring in the western part of the range. We show that in a general sense, there is no distinct eastern or Montecito type of Sundowner event but rather a continuum of Sundowners based on wind direction upstream near ridgetop height. Montecito-type events tend to occur in conjunction with internal gravity wave breaking over the upstream San Rafael range that enhances mountain wave activity near Montecito. SMITH ET AL.13,092
“…A positively tilted mid-tropospheric ridge slowly moved onshore, centered over the US Pacific coast, with this general pattern persisting until 22 December, keeping offshore flow across southern California (e.g., Figure 4a). Both Santa Ana and Sundowner winds can develop under this synoptic configuration [6,45,46]. Widespread strong east-northeast surface winds and RH below 15% developed by 00:00 UTC 5 December and expanded in coverage and intensity by 21:00 UTC 5 December (Figure 4b).…”
Section: Southern California Fire Weathermentioning
Two extreme wind-driven wildfire events impacted California in late 2017, leading to 46 fatalities and thousands of structures lost. This study characterizes the meteorological and climatological factors that drove and enabled these wildfire events and quantifies their rarity over the observational record. Both events featured key fire-weather metrics that were unprecedented in the observational record that followed a sequence of climatic conditions that enhanced fine fuel abundance and fuel availability. The North Bay fires of October 2017 occurred coincident with strong downslope winds, with a majority of burned area occurring within the first 12 h of ignition. By contrast, the southern California fires of December 2017 occurred during the longest Santa Ana wind event on record, resulting in the largest wildfire in California's modern history. Both fire events occurred following an exceptionally wet winter that was preceded by a severe four-year drought. Fuels were further preconditioned by the warmest summer and autumn on record in northern and southern California, respectively. Finally, delayed onset of autumn precipitation allowed for critically low dead fuel moistures leading up to the wind events. Fire weather conditions were well forecast several days prior to the fire. However, the rarity of fire-weather conditions that occurred near populated regions, along with other societal factors such as limited evacuation protocols and limited wildfire preparedness in communities outside of the traditional wildland urban interface were key contributors to the widespread wildfire impacts.
“…Owing to the close proximity of densely populated Santa Barbara and surrounding communities, Sundowner-associated fires have been some of the most destructive wildfires regionally, despite relatively smaller sizes (e.g., the 2009 Jesusita Fire consumed 80 homes despite burning only 3534 ha). These conflagrations have often occurred in spring months, suggesting a third key period of fire danger for regional fire management outside of the summer and autumn peaks [17,18]. However, the proportion of the southwestern California fire history attributable to Sundowner events has not been quantified.…”
Wildfires are a major hazard to humans in the southern California Mediterranean ecosystem and improving our understanding and delineation of different fire regimes is critical to mitigating wildfire-related hazards. Recent research has demonstrated that there are two distinct fire regimes in this region based on the presence or absence of katabatic winds (primarily Santa Ana winds) concurrent with the fire. Here, we expand the katabatic wind category to include Sundowner winds along the Santa Barbara front range and analyze the spatial relationships and difference in ignition sources between fires associated with katabatic and non-katabatic wind events from 1948-2017. We found distinct spatial extents for katabatic versus non-katabatic fires, with areas of the higher number of repeat fires generally associated with one fire type or the other. These spatial delineations were consistent with prior analyses of katabatic wind patterns and were also related to the climatology of marine influences across the region. Finally, we contextualize the burn perimeter of the 2017 Thomas Fire, the largest fire in modern California history, relative to spatial patterns of katabatic and non-katabatic fires. The 2017 Thomas Fire began during the longest Santa Ana event in the last 70 years in an area that has been burned repeatedly by Santa Ana fires. However, the Thomas Fire ultimately burned into a region where there were no prior Santa Ana fires. The spatial delineation of two relatively distinct fire regimes is critical to making management decisions, such as where to locate suppression resources at critical times and where fuel treatments might be most effective. However, the anomalous pattern of the Thomas Fire also points to the potential for changes in anthropogenic and environmental factors to disrupt historical spatial patterns and suggests that spatial patterns of fire regimes are themselves prospective metrics of global change.
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