Aim
Investigate how the results of predictive models of preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for breast cancer change based on available data
Materials and Methods
1919 insured women aged ≥18 with stage 0-III breast cancer diagnosed 2002-2009. Four models were compared using nested multivariable logistic, backwards stepwise regression; model fit was assessed via area under the curve (AUC), R2.
Results
MRI recipients (n=245) were more recently diagnosed, younger, less comorbid, with higher stage disease. Significant variables included: Model 1/Claims (AUC=.76, R2=0.10): year, age, location, income; Model 2/Cancer Registry (AUC=.78, R2 =0.12): stage, breast density, imaging indication; Model 3/Medical Record (AUC=.80, R2 =0.13): radiologic recommendations; Model 4/Risk Factor Survey (AUC=.81, R2 =0.14): procedure count.
Conclusions
Clinical variables accounted for little of the observed variability compared to claims data.