2015
DOI: 10.1172/jci83111
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Blood kinetics of Ebola virus in survivors and nonsurvivors

Abstract: Italian Ministry of Health; Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs; EMERGENCY's private donations; and Royal Engineers for DFID-UK.

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Cited by 88 publications
(78 citation statements)
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References 22 publications
(26 reference statements)
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“…A number of studies have correlated nonsurvival at 90% or more if the viral load exceeds 6 log copies per millilitre [210][211][212][213][214] in untreated patients. In a study of 84 patients infected with EBOV in West Africa, all patients with a viral load >7.71 log copies per millilitre of blood died, whereas all those with counts below this threshold survived 215 . Thus, for example, in the case of the TKM-130803 EBOV trial, the patients who survived would almost certainly have died without at least receiving supportive care in addition to TKM-130803, but whether treatment with TKM-130803 had any contribution was not possible to determine with confidence owing to the issues with the trial discussed earlier.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A number of studies have correlated nonsurvival at 90% or more if the viral load exceeds 6 log copies per millilitre [210][211][212][213][214] in untreated patients. In a study of 84 patients infected with EBOV in West Africa, all patients with a viral load >7.71 log copies per millilitre of blood died, whereas all those with counts below this threshold survived 215 . Thus, for example, in the case of the TKM-130803 EBOV trial, the patients who survived would almost certainly have died without at least receiving supportive care in addition to TKM-130803, but whether treatment with TKM-130803 had any contribution was not possible to determine with confidence owing to the issues with the trial discussed earlier.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Measurement of viral load is an important parameter in Marburg virus disease and Ebola virus disease, because viral load correlates with severity of disease, survival, and infectivity. [9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16] Assessing the viral load, and thus the potential infectivity of a patient, can guide triage and admission placement to minimise risk of interperson trans mission. Viral load measurements are also important to better understand the clinical presentation and pathogenesis of fi lovirus disease, and to interpret the effi cacy of candidate therapies and vaccines in animal models and human beings.…”
Section: Importance Of Fi Lovirus Load Determinationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…42 For instance, a 1-2 log 10 diff erence in Ebola virus viral load, which may be within the margin of error of RT-PCR testing within and between many laboratories and assays, might correlate with signifi cant diff erences in lethality. 10,[12][13][14] Standard curves, generated by assessing multiple samples with known quantities of fi loviral RNA, can be used to measure the variability of results and off er a better understanding of the meaning of results across laboratories and time points. However, standard curves have rarely been generated under outbreak conditions, probably because of the high numbers of samples processed and to obtain and provide results rapidly.…”
Section: Variability Of Fi Lovirus Load Determinationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…7 RNA copies/ml blood at the time of diagnosis (typically seen as C T values of Ͻ25) (4,12,(33)(34)(35)(36). Recent evidence from a longitudinal study of four EVD survivors suggests that C T values greater than ϳ35 in the setting of convalescence are not associated with infectious virus (37); however, a C T value of Յ40 is typically used as the cutoff to designate a positive sample (37).…”
Section: Real-time Rt-pcrmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The reported durations of persistence of detectable RNA in the serum or plasma of EVD survivors appear to depend on the RT-PCR assay used, although differences in study populations between testing centers render comparisons between assays difficult. Field laboratories in the 2014-2015 epidemic (employing a variety of commercial and laboratory-developed assays) reported variable times to clearance of detectable RNA in their survivor populations, ranging from day 13 to 45 of illness (12,15,35) (Fig. 1).…”
Section: Real-time Rt-pcrmentioning
confidence: 99%