2020
DOI: 10.1101/2020.05.22.111237
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Biophysical modeling of the SARS-CoV-2 viral cycle reveals ideal antiviral targets

Abstract: Effective therapies for COVID-19 are urgently needed. Presently there are more than 800 COVID-19 clinical trials globally, many with drug combinations, resulting in an empirical process with an enormous number of possible combinations. To identify the most promising potential therapies, we developed a biophysical model for the SARS-CoV-2 viral cycle and performed a sensitivity analysis for individual model parameters and all possible pairwise parameter changes (16 2 = 256 possibilities). We found that model-pr… Show more

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Cited by 12 publications
(14 citation statements)
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References 33 publications
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“…This model predicted that targeting of transcription and translation are especially sensitive processes that could allow effective antiviral targeting of SARS-CoV-2. Consistent with the model predictions the transcription inhibitor N-hydroxycytidine and the translation inhibitors metformin (41,42) and sirolimus were effective in inhibiting viral replication for at least some of the patients. Also consistent with the model predictions, the viral entry inhibitor, chloroquine, was not effective.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 70%
See 2 more Smart Citations
“…This model predicted that targeting of transcription and translation are especially sensitive processes that could allow effective antiviral targeting of SARS-CoV-2. Consistent with the model predictions the transcription inhibitor N-hydroxycytidine and the translation inhibitors metformin (41,42) and sirolimus were effective in inhibiting viral replication for at least some of the patients. Also consistent with the model predictions, the viral entry inhibitor, chloroquine, was not effective.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 70%
“…Also consistent with the model predictions, the viral entry inhibitor, chloroquine, was not effective. The model failed to predict the lack of effectiveness of remdesivir, which may be due to the specific properties of the drug binding in the cells (41). The model did not make any specific prediction about dexamethasone, which targets immunomodulators.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 87%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…However, if the SARS‐CoV‐2 cycle and its modulation of cellular pathways is similar to MERS‐CoV and other RNA viruses, this presents a potential target to explore for novel or repurposed treatments. Biophysical modeling of SARS‐Cov2, predicts that targeting of viral transcription, translation, or both, represent high sensitivity targets for therapeutic inhibition and are likely to result in inhibition of viral replication 5 . A SARS‐CoV‐2 human protein‐protein interaction map was recently performed to reveal potential drug targets.…”
Section: Manuscriptmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In Ref. [ 36 • ], exhaustive combinatorial sensitivity analysis for all pairwise parameter changes in a model of the SARS-CoV-2 viral life cycle predicted that drugs targeting viral genome replication (like remdesivir ) and protein synthesis would result in the most effective reduction of viral titer.…”
Section: How Understanding Viral Kinetics and Immune Response Can Assist Development Of Antiviral Therapiesmentioning
confidence: 99%