Bi-regional dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI for prediction of microvascular invasion in solitary BCLC stage A hepatocellular carcinoma

Abstract

Objectives To construct a combined model based on bi-regional quantitative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI), as well as clinical-radiological (CR) features for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) in solitary Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and to assess its ability for stratifying the risk of recurrence after hepatectomy. Methods Patients with solitary BCLC stage A HCC were prospective collected and randomly divided into training and validation sets. DCE perfusion parameters were obtained both in intra-tumoral region (ITR) and peritumoral region (PTR). Combined DCE perfusion parameters (CDCE) were constructed to predict MVI. The combined model incorporating CDCE and CR features was developed and evaluated. Kaplan–Meier method was used to investigate the prognostic significance of the model and the survival benefits of different hepatectomy approaches. Results A total of 133 patients were included. Total blood flow in ITR and arterial fraction in PTR exhibited the best predictive performance for MVI with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.790 and 0.792, respectively. CDCE achieved AUCs of 0.868 (training set) and 0.857 (validation set). A combined model integrated with the α-fetoprotein, corona enhancement, two-trait predictor of venous invasion, and CDCE could improve the discrimination ability to AUCs of 0.966 (training set) and 0.937 (validation set). The combined model could stratify the prognosis of HCC patients. Anatomical resection was associated with a better prognosis in the high-risk group (p < 0.05). Conclusion The combined model integrating DCE perfusion parameters and CR features could be used for MVI prediction in HCC patients and assist clinical decision-making. Critical relevance statement The combined model incorporating bi-regional DCE-MRI perfusion parameters and CR features predicted MVI preoperatively, which could stratify the risk of recurrence and aid in optimizing treatment strategies. Key Points Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant predictor of prognosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Quantitative DCE-MRI could predict MVI in solitary BCLC stage A HCC; the combined model improved performance. The combined model could help stratify the risk of recurrence and aid treatment planning. Graphical Abstract