Beyond the “fit”: introducing climate forecasts among organic farmers in Georgia (United States)

Furman, Carrie; Roncoli, Carla; Crane, Todd A.; Hoogenboom, Gerrit

doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0238-y

Cited by 35 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 25 publications

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“…Farmers tend to use a combination of meteorological information and indigenous knowledge in their seasonal forecasting, as they primarily rely on indigenous knowledge but are also open to receiving scientific forecasts (Mapfumo et al, 2015;Orlove et al, 2010;Roudier et al, 2014). While smallholder farmers approach a season with a wealth of prior experience in empirical observation and traditional knowledge regarding forecasts, these farmers also adjust their practices as they seek further local information and also as scientific real-time forecasts become available (Furman et al, 2011;Frimpong, 2013;Orlove et al, 2010). It becomes difficult in some cases to ascertain which source of information influences what decision in the same season.It may, therefore, be prudent to assert that it is a combination of the types of forecasts that influences farmers' decision making.…”

Section: Sources Of Seasonal Climate Forecast Informationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Seasonal Climate Prediction and Adaptation Using Indigenous Knowledge Systems in Agriculture Systems in Southern Africa: A Review

Jiri¹,

Mafongoya²,

Mubaya³

et al. 2016

JAS

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Erratic rainfall and increasing temperature is rapidly emerging as one of the most serious global problems affecting many sectors in the world. It is considered to be one of the most serious threats to sustainable development with adverse impact on environment, human health, food security, economic activities, natural resources and physical infrastructure. Southern Africa is one of the most vulnerable regions to climate change in the world, particularly because of widespread poverty, recurrent droughts, inequitable land distribution, over-dependence on rain-fed agriculture and low adaptive capacity. Yet rural farmers in southern Africa have managed to survive the vagaries of climate change over the years. This review reveals that these rural farmers can use indigenous knowledge to cope and adapt to climate change. Availability and access to scientific weather information to make cropping and other decisions at the local level remain key issues to usage of climatic data by rural farmers. On the other hand, indigenous knowledge is what rural farmers have been using but is also becoming unreliable due to climate change and variability. Integration of indigenous knowledge and scientific seasonal forecast seems to be a key possible thrust to reduce vulnerability, enhance resilience of rural farmers and increase their adaptive capacity.

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Section: Sources Of Seasonal Climate Forecast Informationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Seasonal Climate Prediction and Adaptation Using Indigenous Knowledge Systems in Agriculture Systems in Southern Africa: A Review

Jiri¹,

Mafongoya²,

Mubaya³

et al. 2016

JAS

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“…A number of studies have examined how farmers in the developed world value and use weather and climate information as a tool to manage their agricultural operations or adapt to changing weather conditions (McCrea et al 2005;Hu et al 2006;Tarnoczi and Berkes 2010;Crane et al 2010;PytlikZillig et al 2010;Hogan et al 2010;Furman et al 2011). However, few studies have specifically explored the role of agricultural advisors in using weather/climate information to help farmers make decisions (but see Buizer et al 2010).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Agricultural Advisors: A Receptive Audience for Weather and Climate Information?

Prokopy

Haigh

Mase

et al. 2013

Weather, Climate, and Society

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As the climate in the midwestern United States becomes increasingly variable because of global climate change, it is critical to provide tools to the agricultural community to ensure adaptability and profitability of agricultural cropping systems. When used by farmers and their advisors, agricultural decision support tools can reduce uncertainty and risks in the planning, operation, and management decisions of the farm enterprise. Agricultural advisors have historically played a key role in providing information and guidance in these decisions. However, little is known about what these advisors know or think about weather and climate information and their willingness to incorporate this type of information into their advice to farmers. In this exploratory study, a diverse set of professionals who advise corn growers, including government, nonprofit, for-profit, and agricultural extension personnel, were surveyed in four states in the midwestern Corn Belt. Results from the survey indicate that advisors are more influenced by current weather conditions and 1-7-day forecasts than longer-term climate outlooks. Advisors predominantly consider historical weather trends and/ or forecasts in their advice to farmers on short-term operational decisions versus longer-term tactical and strategic decisions. The main conclusion from this analysis is that opportunities exist to further engage the advisor community on weather and climate issues and, through them, the farmers who are managing the land. Keywords

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“…Furman, Roncoli, Crane, and Hoogenboom () studied the factors influencing the accessibility and usability of climate forecasts among organic farmers in Georgia in the United States. Through interviews and an online survey the authors sought to examine aspects related to the accessibility and usability of climate information by those farmers.…”

Section: Methods For Assessing the Value Of Seasonal Climate Forecastsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the value of seasonal climate forecasts for decision‐making

Soares

Daly

Dessai

2018

WIREs Climate Change

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Seasonal climate forecasts (SCF) can support decision-making and thus help society cope with and prepare for climate variability and change. The demand for understanding the value and benefits of using SCF in decision-making processes can be associated with different logics. Two of these would be the need to justify public and private investment in the provision of SCF and demonstrating the gains and benefits of using SCF in specific decision-making contexts. This paper reviews the main factors influencing how SCF is (or can be) valued in supporting decision-making and the main methods and metrics currently used to perform such valuations. Our review results in four key findings: (a) there is a current emphasis on economic ex ante studies and the quantification of SCF value; (b) there are fundamental differences in how the value of SCF is defined and estimated across methods and approaches; (c) most valuation methods are unable to capture the differential benefits and risks of using SCF across spatiotemporal scales and groups; and (d) there is limited involvement of the decision-makers in the valuation process. The paper concludes by providing some guiding principles towards more effective valuations of SCF, notably the need for a wider diversity and integration of methodological approaches. These should particularly embrace ex-post, qualitative, and participatory approaches which allow co-evaluation with decision-makers so that more comprehensive and equitable SCF valuations can be developed in future. This article is categorized under:Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change > Institutions for Adaptationassessing value of climate information, climate services, seasonal climate forecasts, valuation methods, value of climate information for decision-making

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Beyond the “fit”: introducing climate forecasts among organic farmers in Georgia (United States)

Abstract: Organic agriculture, Climate variability, Agricultural risk management, Seasonal climate forecasts, Southeastern United States,

Cited by 35 publications

References 25 publications

Seasonal Climate Prediction and Adaptation Using Indigenous Knowledge Systems in Agriculture Systems in Southern Africa: A Review

Seasonal Climate Prediction and Adaptation Using Indigenous Knowledge Systems in Agriculture Systems in Southern Africa: A Review

Agricultural Advisors: A Receptive Audience for Weather and Climate Information?

Assessing the value of seasonal climate forecasts for decision‐making

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