Beyond the boom-bust cycle: An interdisciplinary framework for analysing crop booms

Castella, Jean‐Christophe; Lu, Juliet; Friis, Cecilie; Bruun, Thilde Bech; Cole, Robert; Junquera, Victoria; Kenney‐Lazar, Miles; Mahanty, Sango; Ornetsmüller, Christine; Pravalprukskul, Pin; Vagneron, Isabelle

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102651

Cited by 9 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 111 publications

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“…Changes in policies were similarly important triggers for these and other booms [85][86][87][88][89], and previous booms paved the way for subsequent ones [90]. Despite being exposed to similar triggers, Oudomsin and Prang followed different trajectories and represent an example of variegated pathways and impacts of agrarian change [1], attributable in part to differences in endogenous preconditions and feedbacks.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The establishment of banana plantations in rice paddy areas thwarted rice production in adjacent land by dismantling irrigation channels, which hampered downstream rice production, and by exerting 1 In rare cases, the opposite can be true, for example, in specific instances of delayed feedback in oscillatory systems [72]. a push effect on rodent pests towards remaining paddies owing to heavy pesticide use in banana plantations.…”

Section: Neighbourhood Effects (Plot Level)mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Yet, boom-bust dynamics are not well understood, in part because most models and theoretical frameworks are designed to study gradual, continuous land system change rather than abrupt, nonlinear and structural transformations [16][17][18][19]. Partly as a result, land governance institutions are generally unable to anticipate [19] or even recognize crop booms early and frequently lack the capacity to steer such transformations towards desirable outcomes [1].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Crop booms are a form of agricultural expansion characterized by their abruptness, speed, intensity and nonlinearity [1]. Notable instances include booms of oil palm, cocoa and rubber in Southeast Asia; coffee in Vietnam; cocoa in West Africa; and soybean in South America [2][3][4][5][6].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Crop booms as regime shifts

Junquera,

Schlüter,

Rocha

et al. 2024

R. Soc. Open Sci.

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A crop boom is a sudden, nonlinear and intense expansion of a new crop. Despite their large impacts, boom-bust dynamics are not well understood; booms are largely unpredictable and difficult to steer once they unfold. Based on the striking resemblances between land regime shifts and crop booms, we apply complex systems theory, highlighting the potential for regime shifts, to provide new insights about crop boom dynamics. We analyse qualitative and quantitative data of rubber and banana plantation expansion in two forest frontier regions of northern Laos. We show that preconditions , including previous booms, explain the occurrence (why) of booms, and triggers like policy and market changes explain their timing (when). Yet, the most important features of booms, their intensity and nonlinearity (how), strongly depended on internal self-reinforcing feedbacks . We identify built-in feedbacks (neighbourhood effects and imitation) and emergent feedbacks (land rush) and show that they were social in nature, multi-scale from plot to region and subject to thresholds. We suggest that these are regular features of booms and propose a definition and causal-mechanistic explanation of crop booms, examining the overlap between booms and regime shifts and the role of frontiers. We then identify opportunities for management interventions before, during and after booms.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Neighbourhood Effects (Plot Level)mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Crop booms as regime shifts

Junquera,

Schlüter,

Rocha

et al. 2024

R. Soc. Open Sci.

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“…As an analytic, the broiler complex reveals how Asia's industrial poultry boom has produced a parallel maize boom and associated chemical risks (Castella et al, 2023;Kumar et al, 2022). Feed cropping for industrial poultry echoes the green revolution's boom in crop yields via high-yielding seeds, fertilizers, insecticides, and fungicides since the 1960s (Pingali, 2012).…”

Section: An Integrated Multi-scalar and Context-rich Approach To The ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

A policy and research agenda for Asia's poultry industry

Mahanty

Doron

Hamilton

2023

Asia & Pacific Policy Stud

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Meat consumption and production in Asia have boomed over the last decade to meet growing regional and global demand. Asia now supplies around 40% of the global broiler or meat chicken industry. Dominant policy frameworks such as ‘One Health’ aim to manage the health risks associated with factory livestock farming, which has rightly become a major concern because of regular disease outbreaks. Yet this approach provides a limited basis for addressing broader risks and challenges associated with what we term the Asian ‘broiler complex’. This includes the intertwined networks of feed production, factory farming and meat distribution nodes through which health and environmental risks can accumulate and be amplified. By applying this broader lens, we highlight the need to better understand the industry's pressing environmental, animal welfare, social and health challenges to inform more integrated policy approaches.

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Trade‐offs and synergies between dimensions of well‐being among smallholder farmers in Savannakhet province, Lao PDR

Appelt,

Siengsounthone,

Phonekeo

et al. 2024

Sustainable Development

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Agrarian transition is often seen as a pathway towards sustainable development and increasing well‐being for rural households. However, empirical evidence on trade‐offs and synergies between different dimensions of well‐being as a result of agrarian transitions is lacking. We conducted a cross‐sectional survey of 360 households across 12 villages in Savannakhet province, Lao PDR. We find evidence of synergies across different farmer types and between all included well‐being dimensions; economic, food security, health, and gender equality. However, for intensive paddy rice farmers, synergies are predominantly positive, while for non‐intensive cash crop farmers synergies are mostly negative. These findings indicate that development in one well‐being dimension may provide improvements in other dimensions, but that benefits can be difficult to achieve for some types of farmers. Our results further suggest that rural development policies focussing on a single well‐being aspect, for example supporting non‐farm incomes, may have co‐benefits beyond the immediate development targets.

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Beyond the boom-bust cycle: An interdisciplinary framework for analysing crop booms

Cited by 9 publications

References 111 publications

Crop booms as regime shifts

Crop booms as regime shifts

A policy and research agenda for Asia's poultry industry

Trade‐offs and synergies between dimensions of well‐being among smallholder farmers in Savannakhet province, Lao PDR

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