Bevölkerungsgeschichte und Historische Demographie 1800–2000

Ehmer, Josef

doi:10.1524/9783486701609

Cited by 54 publications

(17 citation statements)

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“…(2006, p. 36) document the evolution of completed fertility by female birth cohorts in West Germany. About 9% of women in West Germany born before 1926 (and hence of marriagable age in 1946) never got married; 40 years later, in 1996, and despite a long‐term trend decline in marriage rates, only 7% of women aged 45 or older had never been married (Ehmer, 2004, p. 48). Official statistics on unmarried, yet co‐habiting parents do not exist for the early post‐war years (and hence information to what extent such unions were a potential substitute to formal marriage).…”

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World War II, Missing Men and Out of Wedlock Childbearing

Bethmann

Kvasnicka²

2012

The Economic Journal

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Based on county-level census data for the German state of Bavaria in 1939 and 1946, we use World War II as a natural experiment to study the effects of sex ratio changes on out-of-wedlock fertility. Our findings show that war-induced shortfalls of men to women significantly increased the nonmarital fertility ratio at mid century, a result that proves robust to the use of alternative sex ratio definitions, post-war measures of fertility, and estimation samples. The magnitude of this increase furthermore appears to depend on the future marriage market prospects that women at the time could expect to face in the not-too-distant future. We find the positive effect on the nonmarital fertility ratio of a decline in the sex ratio to be strongly attenuated by the magnitude of countylevel shares of prisoners of war. Unlike military casualties and soldiers missing in action, prisoners of war had a sizeable positive probability of returning home from the war. Both current marriage market conditions, therefore, and foreseeable improvements in the future marriage market prospects of women appear to have influenced fertility behavior in the immediate aftermath of World War II.

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confidence: 99%

World War II, Missing Men and Out of Wedlock Childbearing

Bethmann

Kvasnicka²

2012

The Economic Journal

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“…etwa Schivelbusch 1977/1981, Kaschuba 2004, Merki 2008; aber auch, auf existenzieller Ebene, aus dem Anstieg der Lebenserwartung und vor allem dem Rückgang des Risikos eines plötzlichen Todes im frühen oder mittleren Lebensalter (vgl. exemplarisch Marschalck 1984, Imhof 1994, Hubert 1995/1998, Ehmer 2004.…”

Section: Quellen Und Methodikunclassified

„Wenn Menschen auseinandergehn, So sagen sie: auf Wiedersehn“. Zur soziopragmatischen Geschichte eines Abschiedsgrußes im 19. und 20. Jahrhundert

Schröter¹

2012

Jahrbuch Für Germanistische Sprachgeschichte

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“…Pfister (1994) (Ehmer 2004; für das 20. Die "Massenabwanderungen" nach 1500 bewegen sich jedoch in der Größenordnung von <1 % des Gesamtbestandes und schöpft nur zeitweilig und lokal bis zu 20 % des Geburtenüberschusses vor dem Demographischen Übergang ab.…”

Section: Migrationenunclassified

Umweltgeschichte

Herrmann¹

2016

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Bevölkerungsgeschichte und Historische Demographie 1800–2000

Cited by 54 publications

References 0 publications

World War II, Missing Men and Out of Wedlock Childbearing

World War II, Missing Men and Out of Wedlock Childbearing

„Wenn Menschen auseinandergehn, So sagen sie: auf Wiedersehn“. Zur soziopragmatischen Geschichte eines Abschiedsgrußes im 19. und 20. Jahrhundert

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