We consider the skew Howe duality for the action of certain dual pairs of Lie groups (G1, G2) on the exterior algebra (C n ⊗ C k ) as a probability measure on Young diagrams by the decomposition into the sum of irreducible representations. We prove a combinatorial version of this skew Howe for the pairs (GLn, GL k ), (SO2n+1, Pin 2k ), (Sp2n, Sp 2k ), and (O2n, SO k ) using crystal bases, which allows us to interpret the skew Howe duality as a natural consequence of lattice paths on lozenge tilings of certain partial hexagonal domains. The G1-representation multiplicity is given as a determinant formula using the Lindström-Gessel-Viennot lemma and as a product formula using Dodgson condensation. These admit natural q-analogs that we show equals the q-dimension of a G2-representation (up to an overall factor of q), giving a refined version of the combinatorial skew Howe duality. Using these product formulas (at q = 1), we take the infinite rank limit and prove the diagrams converge uniformly to the limit shape.