Bayesian representation of a prolonged archaeological debate

Wallach, Efraim

doi:10.1007/s11229-016-1224-8

Synthese

2016

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-016-1224-8

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Bayesian representation of a prolonged archaeological debate

Efraim Wallach

Abstract: IntroductionBayesian confirmation Historiographic hypotheses and archaeological evidence The rival hypotheses Archaeological evidence Methodology Hypotheses' comparison Conquest vs. Immigration hypothesis Immigration vs. Revolt hypothesis Immigration vs. Revolt hypothesis Discussion Conclusion Acknowledgments References

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2018

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Historiographic narratives and empirical evidence: a case study

Wallach

2018

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Several scholars observed that narratives about the human past are evaluated comparatively. Few attempts have been made, however, to explore how such evaluations are actually done. Here I look at a lengthy "contest" among several historiographic narratives, all constructed to make sense of another one-the biblical story of the conquest of Canaan. I conclude that the preference of such narratives can be construed as a rational choice. In particular, an easily comprehensible and emotionally evocative narrative will give way to a complex and mundane one, when the latter provides a more coherent account of the consensually accepted body of evidence. This points to a fundamental difference between historiographic narratives and fiction, contrary to some influential opinions in the philosophy of historiography. Such historiographic narratives have similarities with hypotheses and narrative explanations in natural science.

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Historiographic narratives and empirical evidence: a case study

Wallach

2018

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Bayesian representation of a prolonged archaeological debate

Cited by 1 publication

References 30 publications

Historiographic narratives and empirical evidence: a case study

Historiographic narratives and empirical evidence: a case study

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