2015
DOI: 10.18637/jss.v068.i05
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Bayesian Model Averaging and Jointness Measures forgretl

Abstract: This paper presents a software package that implements Bayesian model averaging for gretl, the GNU regression, econometrics and time-series library. Bayesian model averaging is a model-building strategy that takes account of model uncertainty in conclusions about estimated parameters. It is an efficient tool for discovering the most probable models and obtaining estimates of their posterior characteristics. In recent years we have observed an increasing number of software packages devoted to Bayesian model ave… Show more

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Cited by 12 publications
(13 citation statements)
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“…This means that we did not give preference to any variables associated with economic growth theory, and the BMA approach helped us to find the most probable ones. All calculations were performed in the BMA 2.01 package by Błażejowski and Kwiatkowski [59] (The BMA 2.01 package is available at http://ricardo.ecn.wfu.edu/gretl/cgi-bin/gretldata.cgi?opt=SHOW_FUNCS) for the gretl program (see Cottrell and Lucchetti [68]). The most probable variables were defined as those with the highest Posterior Inclusion Probabilities (PIPs).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…This means that we did not give preference to any variables associated with economic growth theory, and the BMA approach helped us to find the most probable ones. All calculations were performed in the BMA 2.01 package by Błażejowski and Kwiatkowski [59] (The BMA 2.01 package is available at http://ricardo.ecn.wfu.edu/gretl/cgi-bin/gretldata.cgi?opt=SHOW_FUNCS) for the gretl program (see Cottrell and Lucchetti [68]). The most probable variables were defined as those with the highest Posterior Inclusion Probabilities (PIPs).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We use the BMA code by Błażejowski and Kwiatkowski [59], which also allows the use of a jointness measure to identify relations between variables.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…All numerical computations were carried out in the gretl's BMA package (see Błażejowski and Kwiatkowski, 2013). Authors specify the following entries in the GUI BMA window: model prior = 'binomial', prior average model size = '12.5' (we set the models priors to the uniform distribution), number of the top ranked models = '15', g-prior type = 'Benchmark prior', total number of replications = '1000000', percentage of burn-in draws = '10'.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Using the BMA (Bayesian Model Averaging) method a group of explanatory variables was proposed to determine potential factors responsible for differences in regional averages of GDP growth rate under a dynamic approach. The Bayesian approach was previously used in author's research Gazda and Puziak (2013) as well Błażejowski and Kwiatkowski (2013) and also in the economic studies by to identify the relationship between migration and economic growth and by to select the determinants of permanent migration in Romania. The Bayesian methods are good alternatives to traditional methods used, for example, by Albu (2013) to select foreign trade and FDI as determinants of economic growth or by Albu (2006) and also Albu and Roudoi (2003) to study the relationship between economic growth, investment and interest rate.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…On the theoretical level, the above presented procedure has been described in an article by Błażejowski et al [35]; a detailed description of the tools is contained in a publication by Błażejowski and Kwiatkowski [42].…”
Section: -2018)mentioning
confidence: 99%