Abstract:Abstract. Traditionally, the MaxEnt workshops start by a tutorial day. This paper summarizes my talk during 2001'th workshop at John Hopkins University. The main idea in this talk is to show how the Bayesian inference can naturally give us all the necessary tools we need to solve real inverse problems: starting by simple inversion where we assume to know exactly the forward model and all the input model parameters up to more realistic advanced problems of myopic or blind inversion where we may be uncertain abo… Show more
“…The resulting joint posterior over model parameters and hyperparameters may then be interrogated in various ways-e.g., by marginalizing over the hyperparameters to obtain pðmjdÞ; or first marginalizing over m and using the maximizer of this density as an estimate of the hyperparameters; or by seeking the joint maximum a posteriori estimate or posterior mean of m, / m , and / g [54,48]. In the present study, we will introduce hyperparameters to describe aspects of the prior covariance.…”
Section: Bayesian Approach To Inverse Problemsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Bayesian approaches to inverse problems have received much recent interest [48,49,4], with applications ranging from geophysics [50,51] and climate modeling [52] to heat transfer [53,20]. We review this approach briefly below; for more extensive introductions, see [4,5,48].…”
Section: Bayesian Approach To Inverse Problemsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…If parameters / m of the prior density p m ðmj/ m Þ or parameters / g of the error model p g ðg i j/ g Þ are not known a priori, they may become additional objects for Bayesian inference. In other words, these hyperparameters may themselves be endowed with priors and estimated from data [48]: pðm; / m ; / g jdÞ / pðdjm; / g Þp m ðmj/ m Þpð/ g Þpð/ m Þ: ð20Þ…”
Section: Bayesian Approach To Inverse Problemsmentioning
a b s t r a c tWe consider a Bayesian approach to nonlinear inverse problems in which the unknown quantity is a spatial or temporal field, endowed with a hierarchical Gaussian process prior. Computational challenges in this construction arise from the need for repeated evaluations of the forward model (e.g., in the context of Markov chain Monte Carlo) and are compounded by high dimensionality of the posterior. We address these challenges by introducing truncated Karhunen-Loève expansions, based on the prior distribution, to efficiently parameterize the unknown field and to specify a stochastic forward problem whose solution captures that of the deterministic forward model over the support of the prior. We seek a solution of this problem using Galerkin projection on a polynomial chaos basis, and use the solution to construct a reduced-dimensionality surrogate posterior density that is inexpensive to evaluate. We demonstrate the formulation on a transient diffusion equation with prescribed source terms, inferring the spatially-varying diffusivity of the medium from limited and noisy data.
“…The resulting joint posterior over model parameters and hyperparameters may then be interrogated in various ways-e.g., by marginalizing over the hyperparameters to obtain pðmjdÞ; or first marginalizing over m and using the maximizer of this density as an estimate of the hyperparameters; or by seeking the joint maximum a posteriori estimate or posterior mean of m, / m , and / g [54,48]. In the present study, we will introduce hyperparameters to describe aspects of the prior covariance.…”
Section: Bayesian Approach To Inverse Problemsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Bayesian approaches to inverse problems have received much recent interest [48,49,4], with applications ranging from geophysics [50,51] and climate modeling [52] to heat transfer [53,20]. We review this approach briefly below; for more extensive introductions, see [4,5,48].…”
Section: Bayesian Approach To Inverse Problemsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…If parameters / m of the prior density p m ðmj/ m Þ or parameters / g of the error model p g ðg i j/ g Þ are not known a priori, they may become additional objects for Bayesian inference. In other words, these hyperparameters may themselves be endowed with priors and estimated from data [48]: pðm; / m ; / g jdÞ / pðdjm; / g Þp m ðmj/ m Þpð/ g Þpð/ m Þ: ð20Þ…”
Section: Bayesian Approach To Inverse Problemsmentioning
a b s t r a c tWe consider a Bayesian approach to nonlinear inverse problems in which the unknown quantity is a spatial or temporal field, endowed with a hierarchical Gaussian process prior. Computational challenges in this construction arise from the need for repeated evaluations of the forward model (e.g., in the context of Markov chain Monte Carlo) and are compounded by high dimensionality of the posterior. We address these challenges by introducing truncated Karhunen-Loève expansions, based on the prior distribution, to efficiently parameterize the unknown field and to specify a stochastic forward problem whose solution captures that of the deterministic forward model over the support of the prior. We seek a solution of this problem using Galerkin projection on a polynomial chaos basis, and use the solution to construct a reduced-dimensionality surrogate posterior density that is inexpensive to evaluate. We demonstrate the formulation on a transient diffusion equation with prescribed source terms, inferring the spatially-varying diffusivity of the medium from limited and noisy data.
“…The Bayesian setting for inverse problems offers a rigorous foundation for inference from noisy data and uncertain forward models, a natural mechanism for incorporating prior information, and a quantitative assessment of uncertainty in the inferred results [3,4]. Indeed, the output of Bayesian inference is not a single value for the model parameters, but a probability distribution that summarizes all available information about the parameters.…”
“…The variance σ 2 of the discrepancy is related to the fluctuation in the flux which level depends on the temperature. σ 2 is expected to decrease inversely proportional to the number of samples N and will be inferred as a hyperparameter [65,62] along with A and B. Bayes' rule is then written as:…”
Section: Building the Heat Conduction Constitutive Lawmentioning
One of the most significant impediments to advances in electrochemical energy storage lies in the gap between fundamental understanding of atomistic phenomena and our understanding of the impact of these phenomena on system performance at device scales. Atomistic models (DFT, MD, MC) provide insight into such phenomena along with a means of quantification, but such models are too computationally intensive to address device-scale behavior. Similarly, device-scale insight for design and optimization can be obtained through continuum models that are sufficiently fast, but these models account for only the simplest atomistic phenomena. There is thus a large gap between our ability to develop fundamental understanding and our ability to use this understanding to make rapid advances in energy storage technologies. The goal of this work is to help bridge this gap through an innovative synthesis of atomistic and continuum approaches in which atomistic phenomena are captured through fast reduced-order integral methods that can be imbedded into continuum-like models describing device-scale behavior.3 Acknowledgment
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