2021
DOI: 10.1088/1475-7516/2021/08/025
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Bayesian forecasts for dark matter substructure searches with mock pulsar timing data

Abstract: Dark matter substructure, such as primordial black holes (PBHs) and axion miniclusters, can induce phase shifts in pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) due to gravitational effects. In order to gain a more realistic forecast for the detectability of such models of dark matter with PTAs, we propose a Bayesian inference framework to search for phase shifts generated by PBHs and perform the analysis on mock PTA data with the software enterprise. For most PBH masses the constraints on the dark matter abundance agree with p… Show more

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Cited by 23 publications
(39 citation statements)
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“…The first term they are sensitive to is ∝ A(m φ t) 3 , and therefore at low masses, SNR ∝ A(m φ T ) 3 and the constraints weaken as d ∝ 1/m φ . In addition to these subtraction effects, red noise can also deteriorate the signal significance [73] at low masses. This explains why the constraints begin to flatten before turning to the d ∝ 1/m φ scaling.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The first term they are sensitive to is ∝ A(m φ t) 3 , and therefore at low masses, SNR ∝ A(m φ T ) 3 and the constraints weaken as d ∝ 1/m φ . In addition to these subtraction effects, red noise can also deteriorate the signal significance [73] at low masses. This explains why the constraints begin to flatten before turning to the d ∝ 1/m φ scaling.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Such probes have been explored using pulsar timing arrays (e.g., Refs. [159][160][161][162][163][164][165][166][167][168][169][170][171][172][173]) and some measurements of dark matter and dark-matter substructure have also been performed using astrometry data from the Gaia satellite (e.g., Refs. [171,[174][175][176][177]).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Finally, we stopped short of examining the observational signatures of microhalos forming at late times, such as those in pulsar timing arrays [53] or microlensing [54]. Given that enhancement of small-scale structure is so prevalent in many cosmological and particle physics models of DM, it is important and exciting to develop these and other techniques, as they can provide access to the earliest moments in the evolution of the universe.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%