Bayesian evidence synthesis in case of multi-cohort datasets: An illustration by multi-informant differences in self-control

Kevenaar, Sofieke T.; Zondervan‐Zwijnenburg, Mariëlle; Blok, Elisabet; Schmengler, Heiko; Fakkel, Matthijs; Zeeuw, Eveline L. de; Bergen, Elsje van; Onland‐Moret, N. Charlotte; Peeters, Margot; Hillegers, Manon H. J.; Boomsma, Dorret I.; Oldehinkel, Albertine J.

doi:10.1016/j.dcn.2020.100904

Cited by 4 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 27 publications

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“…They introduced the method for the evaluation of a hypothesis constraining one regression parameter to be positive within different statistical models, applied in the context of sociological research. Since then, BES has been applied in a few psychological studies (Kevenaar et al, 2021; Zondervan-Zwijnenburg et al, 2020a,2020b) and a sociological study (Volker, 2022b), and is described in a paper providing an overview of different methods using BFs (Heck et al, 2022). Only recently, we started studying BES under more varied circumstances to better understand its behavior.…”

Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Using this approach, each study provides a level of evidence for the central theory despite the diversity in study design. Although it has been applied successfully (Kevenaar et al, 2021; Volker, 2022b; Zondervan-Zwijnenburg et al, 2020a,2020b), a paper describing the correct interpretation of the combined evidence and the advantages and limitations of this approach is currently lacking. The main goal of this article is, therefore, to provide a clear and correct understanding of this Bayesian evidence synthesis (BES) approach, that is, based on the combining BFs that result from evaluating informative hypotheses.…”

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confidence: 99%

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Bayesian evidence synthesis for informative hypotheses: An introduction.

Klugkist,

Volker

2023

Psychological Methods

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Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Bayesian evidence synthesis for informative hypotheses: An introduction.

Klugkist,

Volker

2023

Psychological Methods

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“…If such an effect occurred in our studies, small socioeconomic differences in parent-reported adolescent psychosocial competencies (e.g., effortful control in Chapter 4) may be the result of stigma more than actually reflecting differences in competence. Additionally, considerable differences in ratings of adolescent behaviors have been observed between parental reports and adolescent self-report (Kevenaar et al, 2021). Some of our null findings (e.g., no socioeconomic differences in parent-reported family support) could be significant if reported by adolescents instead.…”

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confidence: 51%

“…Three characteristics of our data may nuance this conclusion. First, our measure of family support relies on parent report, whereas adolescents could report different experiences (Kevenaar et al, 2021). For example, parents might feel as if it is possible to openly discuss emotions at home, or family members to fully trust and accept each other, whereas adolescents might report otherwise.…”

Section: Theoretical Implicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Socioeconomic (dis)continuity across generations

Fakkel

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Relatively little is known about which individual competencies help determine if adolescents experience social reproduction or social mobility. Consequently, it remains a challenge to identify effective policies that improve equality of opportunity. For example, in some societies that perceive themselves as meritocratic such as the U.S. (Fergusson et al., 2008) and the Netherlands (Zumbuehl et al., 2022), the educational level in which adolescents are stratified still largely depend on socioeconomic background. Hence, a further exploration of individual competencies relevant for social reproduction and social mobility is essential for better understanding how adolescents attain their socioeconomic status as young adults. The purpose of this dissertation was to advance our understanding of the role of adolescent psychosocial competencies in the relationship between parental SES and young adulthood SES. To this end, we assessed the extent to which adolescents’ behavioral control and social competence affect social reproduction and social mobility. Combining all findings, we conclude that socioeconomic differences in behavioral control were small to none, and therefore behavioral control appears to play no role in social reproduction. Behavioral control did however have a positive direct effect on young adulthood SES outcomes (educational attainment in particular), but not more so for adolescents with a low parental SES than for those with a high parental SES. Hence, adolescents with a lower parental SES and high levels of behavioral control are more likely to attain a higher SES in young adulthood than their parents – thus experiencing intergenerational social mobility – but are unlikely to catch up to adolescents with a high parental SES and high levels of behavioral control. Social competence was mostly unrelated to both parental SES and young adulthood SES, and therefore appears to play no role in social reproduction or social mobility. Our findings indicate that adolescent psychosocial competencies have a modest impact on the attainment of young adulthood SES, while the positive effect of parental SES on young adulthood SES remains prominent. Hence, more structural solutions that go beyond the individual adolescent’s responsibility may be required to further attenuate the predominant effect of parental SES on young adulthood SES. The findings in this dissertation are considerably affected by socioeconomic differences in participant inclusion and retention. In particular, families with a lower SES were less likely to participate in our studies and also more likely to drop out across waves. Considering that for example adolescents with low levels of behavioral control were also more likely to drop out, we may be missing crucial data which potentially has far-reaching consequences for research conclusions and their generalizability to the population. If more families and adolescents with a lower SES could have been included and retained, we may have found associations between parental SES, adolescent behavioral control and social competence, and young adulthood SES to be more in line with principles of social reproduction or social mobility. The inclusion and retention challenges experienced in our samples are not unique in the field of developmental psychology, though a critical reflection on its consequences sometimes is.

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