We aimed to evaluate the significance of the cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) to predict stroke in patients with heart failure (HF).Methods: This was a prospective observational study, which recruited clinical data from a total of 557 patients who had been hospitalized for HF and undergone CAVI. According to the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the accurate cut-off value of CAVI in predicting post-discharge stroke was 9.64. We divided the patients into two groups: the high-CAVI group (HF patients with CAVI ≥ 9.64, n 111, 19.9%) and the low-CAVI group (HF patients with CAVI 9.64, n 446, 80.1%). We compared the patients' characteristics and post-discharge prognosis. The primary endpoint was stroke.
Results:The high-CAVI group was older (73.0 vs. 65.5 years old, P 0.001). Male sex (73.9% vs. 61.4%, P 0.015), coronary artery disease (47.7% vs. 36.1%, P 0.024), and diabetes mellitus (54.1% vs. 37.4%, P 0.001) were more prevalent in the high-CAVI group. In contrast, there was no difference in left ventricular ejection fraction, and prevalence of hypertension and dyslipidemia. The Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that post-discharge stroke rate was higher in the high-CAVI group than in the low-CAVI group (log-rank P 0.005). In multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, high CAVI was found to be an independent predictor of stroke, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 3.599, compared to low CAVI.
Conclusion: CAVI independently predicts stroke in patients with HF.The trial registration number: UMIN000029132 pendently of BP, non-invasively represents the stiffness of the aorta, femoral artery, and tibial artery 6) . The formula of the index is as follows: CAVI a [(2 / P) ln (systolic BP / diastolic BP) PWV 2 ] b, where is blood density, P is pulse pressure, and a and b are coefficients 6) . CAVI also estimates atherosclerosis in the coronary and carotid arteries more closely than PWV 7,8) . CAVI is useful not only for the evaluation of arterial stiffness, but also for prognosis prediction in patients who are at high risk of CVDs [9][10][11][12] . However,