Climate change is driving substantial shifts in species distributions worldwide (Chen et al., 2011;Parmesan & Yohe, 2003;Walther et al., 2002). The magnitude and direction of these shifts vary across species, generating novel species assemblages, which differ in structure and composition to those observed today (Williams & Jackson, 2007), potentially resulting in changes to ecosystem functions and services (Barbet-Massin & Jetz, 2015). Understanding and forecasting these changes to assemblage structure is an important step towards developing effective conservation strategies targeted at regions where ecosystem functions are likely to be affected by climate change (Oliver & Roy, 2015). However, few