Available Water Supplies in Beijing, China, Under Single‐ and Multi‐Year Drought

Abstract

Research Impact Statement: Importance of the MR-SNWDP (middle route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project) for ensuring available water supplies in Beijing.ABSTRACT: Since its implementation in 2015, the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project (MR-SNWDP) has transferred an average of 45 billion cubic meters of surface water per year from the Yangtze River in southern China to the Yellow River and Hai River Basin in northern China, but how that supply is able to cope with droughts under different scenarios has not been explored. In this study, using the water demand for 2020 as the guaranteed water target, a Water Evaluation and Planning system was used to simulate available water supplies in Beijing under different drought scenarios. In the case of a single-year drought, without the MR-SNWDP, Beijing's water shortage ratio was 16.7%; with the MR-SNWDP, this ratio reduced to 7.3%. In the case of a multi-year drought, without the MR-SNWDP, Beijing's water shortage ratio was 25.3%; with the MR-SNWDP, this ratio reduced to 7.4% and domestic water supply was improved. Our research suggests that to prepare for multi-year drought in the Beijing area, the SNWDP supports increased supplies to the region that would mitigate drought effects. This study is, however, mostly focused on water supply provision to Beijing and does not comprehensively evaluate other potential impacts. Multiple additional avenues could be pursued that include replenishing groundwater, increasing reservoir storage, and water conservation methods. Further research is needed to explore the relative costs and benefits of these approaches.

Bahçeli̇k Baraji Ve Üni̇teleri̇ni̇n Weap (Water Evaluation and Planning System) Programi İle Modellenmesi̇ Ve İşletme Çalişmasi

“…İyimser senaryoda 2050 yılında havzaya giren su miktarı 353,50 hm 3 , karşılanamayan su talebi 8,90 hm 3 iken kötümser senaryoda havzaya giren su miktarı 189,40 hm 3 , karşılanamayan su talebi ise 85,00 hm 3 olarak bulunmuştur. Chang et al, 2020 [14], Çin'de Güney−Kuzey Su Yönlendirme Projesi için Güney Çin'deki Yangtze Nehri'nden Sarı Nehir'e yılda ortalama 45 milyar metreküp yüzey suyunun aktarılması ve akabinde Kuzey Çin'deki Hai Nehri Havzasının bu arz sonucunda farklı senaryolar altında kuraklıkla nasıl başa çıkabileceğini araştırmışlardır. Farklı kuraklık senaryoları altında 2020 yılı su tüketimlerini de dikkate alarak Pekin'deki mevcut su kaynaklarını benzetim modeline entegre edebilmek için WEAP programı kullanılmıştır.…”