Automated artificial intelligence-enabled proactive preparedness real-time system for accurate prediction of COVID-19 infections— Performance evaluation
Abstract:COVID-19 is a contagious disease that has infected over half a billion people worldwide. Due to the rapid spread of the virus, countries are facing challenges to cope with the infection growth. In particular, healthcare organizations face difficulties efficiently provisioning medical staff, equipment, hospital beds, and quarantine centers. Machine and deep learning models have been used to predict infections, but the selection of the model is challenging for a data analyst. This paper proposes an automated Art… Show more
“…The strengths and limitations identified in these studies highlight the diverse challenges and factors inherent in health care system architecture, including data interoperability, security, privacy, performance, and consistency ( Ismail et al, 2022 ). These findings provide valuable insights for software architects and practitioners involved in developing resilient and efficient data-driven health care systems.…”
Background
In the current era of rapid technological innovation, our lives are becoming more closely intertwined with digital systems. Consequently, every human action generates a valuable repository of digital data. In this context, data-driven architectures are pivotal for organizing, manipulating, and presenting data to facilitate positive computing through ensemble machine learning models. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic underscored a substantial need for a flexible mental health care architecture. This architecture, inclusive of machine learning predictive models, has the potential to benefit a larger population by identifying individuals at a heightened risk of developing various mental disorders.
Objective
Therefore, this research aims to create a flexible mental health care architecture that leverages data-driven methodologies and ensemble machine learning models. The objective is to proficiently structure, process, and present data for positive computing. The adaptive data-driven architecture facilitates customized interventions for diverse mental disorders, fostering positive computing. Consequently, improved mental health care outcomes and enhanced accessibility for individuals with varied mental health conditions are anticipated.
Method
Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, the researchers conducted a systematic literature review in databases indexed in Web of Science to identify the existing strengths and limitations of software architecture relevant to our adaptive design. The systematic review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023444661). Additionally, a mapping process was employed to derive essential paradigms serving as the foundation for the research architectural design. To validate the architecture based on its features, professional experts utilized a Likert scale.
Results
Through the review, the authors identified six fundamental paradigms crucial for designing architecture. Leveraging these paradigms, the authors crafted an adaptive data-driven architecture, subsequently validated by professional experts. The validation resulted in a mean score exceeding four for each evaluated feature, confirming the architecture’s effectiveness. To further assess the architecture’s practical application, a prototype architecture for predicting pandemic anxiety was developed.
“…The strengths and limitations identified in these studies highlight the diverse challenges and factors inherent in health care system architecture, including data interoperability, security, privacy, performance, and consistency ( Ismail et al, 2022 ). These findings provide valuable insights for software architects and practitioners involved in developing resilient and efficient data-driven health care systems.…”
Background
In the current era of rapid technological innovation, our lives are becoming more closely intertwined with digital systems. Consequently, every human action generates a valuable repository of digital data. In this context, data-driven architectures are pivotal for organizing, manipulating, and presenting data to facilitate positive computing through ensemble machine learning models. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic underscored a substantial need for a flexible mental health care architecture. This architecture, inclusive of machine learning predictive models, has the potential to benefit a larger population by identifying individuals at a heightened risk of developing various mental disorders.
Objective
Therefore, this research aims to create a flexible mental health care architecture that leverages data-driven methodologies and ensemble machine learning models. The objective is to proficiently structure, process, and present data for positive computing. The adaptive data-driven architecture facilitates customized interventions for diverse mental disorders, fostering positive computing. Consequently, improved mental health care outcomes and enhanced accessibility for individuals with varied mental health conditions are anticipated.
Method
Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, the researchers conducted a systematic literature review in databases indexed in Web of Science to identify the existing strengths and limitations of software architecture relevant to our adaptive design. The systematic review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023444661). Additionally, a mapping process was employed to derive essential paradigms serving as the foundation for the research architectural design. To validate the architecture based on its features, professional experts utilized a Likert scale.
Results
Through the review, the authors identified six fundamental paradigms crucial for designing architecture. Leveraging these paradigms, the authors crafted an adaptive data-driven architecture, subsequently validated by professional experts. The validation resulted in a mean score exceeding four for each evaluated feature, confirming the architecture’s effectiveness. To further assess the architecture’s practical application, a prototype architecture for predicting pandemic anxiety was developed.
“…The virus started around the end of December 2019 in Wuhan, China [7], followed by its declaration as a pandemic on March 11, 2020, by the World Health Organization [7]. It is caused by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-COV-2) and negatively impacts other vital organs such as the brain, heart, liver, pancreas, and kidney [8][9][10]; the virus can also cause stroke [11] and diabetes [12][13][14][15]. COVID-19 infected over half a billion people and led to over 6 million deaths globally [16].…”
Global rapidly evolving events, e.g., COVID-19, are usually followed by countermeasures and policies. As a reaction, the public tends to express their emotions on social media platforms. Therefore, predicting emotional responses to events is critical to put a plan to avoid risky behaviors. This paper proposes a machine learning-based framework to detect public emotions based on social media posts in response to specific events. It presents a precise measurement of population-level emotions which can aid governance in monitoring public response and guide it to put in place strategies such as targeted monitoring of mental health, to react to a rise in negative emotions in response to lockdowns, or information campaigns, for instance in response to elevated rates of fear in response to vaccination programs. We evaluate our framework by extracting 15,455 tweets. We annotate and categorize the emotions into 11 categories based on Plutchik’s study of emotion and extract the features using a combination of Bag of Words and Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency. We filter 813 COVID-19 vaccine-related tweets and use them to demonstrate our framework’s effectiveness. Numerical evaluation of emotions prediction using Random Forest and Logistic Regression shows that our framework predicts emotions with an accuracy up to 95%.
“…The virus started around the end of December 2019 in Wuhan, China [7], followed by its declaration as a pandemic on March 11, 2020, by the World Health Organization [7]. It is caused by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-COV-2) and negatively impacts other vital organs such as the brain, heart, liver, pancreas, and kidney [8]- [10]; the virus can also cause stroke [11] and diabetes [12]- [15]. COVID-19 infected over half a billion people and led to over 6 million deaths globally [16].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Consequently, countries have imposed precautionary measures to contain it, such as social distancing, travel bans, home confinement, business closures, and vaccination [16]. These preventive actions effectively reduced the number of infections and deaths during the pandemic [17], [18]. However, overly firm restrictions can have a negative impact on the personal level, such as loss of income, anxiety, and depression.…”
Global rapidly evolving events, e.g., COVID-19, are usually followed by countermeasures and policies. As a reaction, the public tends to express their emotions on social media platforms. Therefore, predicting emotional responses to events is critical to put a plan to avoid risky behaviors. This paper proposes a Machine Learning-Natural Language Processing-based framework to detect public emotions based on social media posts in response to specific events. It presents a precise measurement of population-level emotions which can aid governance in monitoring public response and guide it to put in place strategies such as targeted monitoring of mental health, to react to a rise in negative emotions in response to lockdowns, or information campaigns, for instance in response to elevated rates of fear in response to vaccination programs. We evaluate our framework by extracting 15,455 tweets. We annotate and categorize the emotions into 11 categories based on Plutchik's study of emotion and extract the features using a combination of Bag of Words and Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency. We filter 813 COVID-19 vaccine-related tweets and use them to demonstrate our framework's effectiveness. Numerical evaluation of emotions prediction using Random Forest and Logistic Regression shows that our framework predicts emotions with an accuracy up to 95.5%.
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