Asymmetric effects of premature deagriculturalization on economic growth and CO2 emissions: fresh evidence from Pakistan

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between deagriculturalization, economic growth, and CO 2 emissions in Pakistan from the period 1975 to 2018 by employing a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model and Granger causality approach. The asymmetric ARDL findings show that there is a significant negative relationship between agriculturalization and economic growth, while deagriculturalization does not induce economic growth in the long run in Pakistan. Moreover, agriculturalization and deagriculturalization have a negative significant effect on Pakistan’s carbon emissions in the long run. This study concludes that the asymmetric results deviate from symmetric results in Pakistan. The asymmetric causality test shows unidirectional asymmetric causality running from agriculturalization, deagriculturalization, and CO 2 emissions. Moreover, agriculturalization and deagriculturalization do not Granger cause economic growth in Pakistan. Based on the results, the study stressed to formulate such policies which support economic growth and lower carbon emissions through reforming agriculture sector practices. These outcomes are very useful for Pakistan to formulate relevant policies.

Investigating the links between ICTs, passenger transportation, and environmental sustainability

“…Moreover, the variables GDPg and URB positively affect CO 2 emissions while considering some empirical specifications. The finding on GDPg is in accordance with Ullah et al (2021a), while the positive and significant effect of URB suggests a negative impact on the environment (Ullah et al 2021a, b).…”

Assessing effects of agriculture value added, industry value added and imports value added percentage to GDP on CO2 emissions in Bangladesh: An ARDL and NARDL approach.

“…A further study conducted in Saudi Arabia by [9] provides support for the hypothesis that agricultural sector expansion can result in a decrease in CO 2 emissions. By employing ARDL and NARDL, [10] determine that the contribution of agriculture value added to GDP has an adverse impact on carbon emissions in Pakistan.…”

Impact of Green Finance, Agriculture Growth and Creativity on Carbon Emissions of High Carbon Emissions Producing Countries

“…However, factors such as improved seed qualities as well as food grains help in reducing the carbon emissions. This shows that agriculture economics plays a crucial role in mitigating emission where resources are allocated and utilized efficiently (Ullah et al, 2021). At present, there is no such concept regarding the unified definition of low carbon agriculture.…”