Asymmetric arms control and strategic stability: Scenarios for limiting hypersonic glide vehicles

Williams, Heather

doi:10.4324/9781003179917-8

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 12 publications

(12 reference statements)

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“…When the lines between dual-use capabilities and nuclear and nonnuclear are blurred, arms control is much more challenging, and strategic competition and arms racing are more likely to emerge. 179 In short, legacy arms control frameworks, norms, and even the notion of strategic stability itself will increasingly struggle to assimilate and respond to these fluid and interconnected trends. Another complicating issue is that today there are no standard definitionsor engineering methodologyto formulate new regulatory or arms control frameworks to ensure the safety and robustness of AIthe so-called 'AI control problem.'…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

‘Catalytic nuclear war’ in the age of artificial intelligence & autonomy: Emerging military technology and escalation risk between nuclear-armed states

Johnson

2021

Journal of Strategic Studies

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This article revisits the Cold War-era concept of 'catalytic nuclear war,' considered by many as unworkable, and reconceptualizes it in light of technological change, as well as improved understanding of human psychology and other factors. It argues in the modern digital era, the catalyzing chain of reaction and counter-retaliation dynamics set in motion by the deliberate action of a non-state or third-party actor is fast becoming a more accessible and plausible alternative to acquiring a nuclear weapon or manufacturing an improvised atomic device -or 'dirty bomb.' The article concludes that artificial intelligence (AI) technology is creating newand exacerbating oldescalation pathways that risk catalyzing accidental nuclear confrontation between nuclear-armed powers, particularly under irrational (or sub-rational) conditions. Are existing notions of accidental and inadvertent nuclear escalation still relevant in the age of AI and autonomy?

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

‘Catalytic nuclear war’ in the age of artificial intelligence & autonomy: Emerging military technology and escalation risk between nuclear-armed states

Johnson

2021

Journal of Strategic Studies

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“…Moreover, when nuclear and non-nuclear capabilities and war-faring are blurred, strategic competition and arms racing are more likely to emerge, complicating arms control efforts. 152 In short, legacy arms control frameworks, norms, and even the notion of strategic stability itself will increasingly struggle to assimilate and respond to these fluid and interconnected trends.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Deterrence in the age of artificial intelligence & autonomy: a paradigm shift in nuclear deterrence theory and practice?

Johnson

2020

Defense & Security Analysis

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How might nuclear deterrence be affected by the proliferation of artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomous systems? How might the introduction of intelligent machines affect human-to-human (and human-to-machine) deterrence? Are existing theories of deterrence still applicable in the age of AI and autonomy? The article builds on the rich body of work on nuclear deterrence theory and practice and highlights some of the variegated and contradictoryespecially human cognitive psychologicaleffects of AI and autonomy for nuclear deterrence. It argues that existing theories of deterrence are not applicable in the age of AI and autonomy and introducing intelligent machines into the nuclear enterprise will affect nuclear deterrence in unexpected ways with fundamentally destabilising outcomes. The article speaks to a growing consensus calling for conceptual innovation and novel approaches to nuclear deterrence, building on nascent post-classical deterrence theorising that considers the implications of introducing non-human agents into human strategic interactions.

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Asymmetric arms control and strategic stability: Scenarios for limiting hypersonic glide vehicles

Cited by 2 publications

References 12 publications

‘Catalytic nuclear war’ in the age of artificial intelligence & autonomy: Emerging military technology and escalation risk between nuclear-armed states

‘Catalytic nuclear war’ in the age of artificial intelligence & autonomy: Emerging military technology and escalation risk between nuclear-armed states

Deterrence in the age of artificial intelligence & autonomy: a paradigm shift in nuclear deterrence theory and practice?

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