This study was undertaken to identify potential abnormalities of p27 Kip1 and cyclin D1 expression in extrahepatic bile duct carcinomas and to assess the prognostic significance of p27 Kip1 and cyclin D1 levels for patients with this disease. Decreased p27 Kip1 expression (F50% nuclei staining) and cyclin D1 overexpression (G5% nuclei staining) was observed immunohistochemically in 19 (56%) and 23 (68%) of the 34 tumors examined, respectively. Both decreased p27 Kip1 and cyclin D1 overexpression were associated with relapse (P ؍ .0005 for p27 Kip1 and P ؍ .0004 for cyclin D1). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that both decreased p27 Kip1 and cyclin D1 overexpression correlate significantly with shortened survival rates (for p27 Kip1 , P ؍ .0419 and P ؍ .002 for overall and disease-free survival; for cyclin D1, P ؍ .0392 and P ؍ .0021 for overall and disease-free survival). Cox regression model analyses identified decreased p27 Kip1 and cyclin D1 overexpression as independent markers predicting death from relapse (P ؍ .0371, risk ratio: 3.891 for p27 Kip1 ; P ؍ .0429, risk ratio: 8.31 for cyclin D1). Carcinoma of the extrahepatic bile duct (EBDC) is notoriously difficult to cure. Surgical resection is the first choice of treatment, however, postoperative survival remains unsatisfactory. The effects of adjuvant therapy remain poorly understood. Understanding the molecular underpinnings of EBDC is important because it may provide new biotherapy for this disease. Identification of biomarkers related to the outcome of patients with EBDC after surgery is another avenue to improve the prognosis, which may assist in the selection of patients who might benefit from adjuvant therapy. Multiple specific gene alterations contribute to human carcinogenesis and cancer progression. For hepatobiliary malignancies in hepatocellular carcinoma, several genetic and epigenetic alterations have been identified and some have been linked with prognosis, 1 but the molecular basis of EBDC remains poorly understood. p53 overexpression has been observed in EBDC immunohistochemically, however, the impact of this alteration on prognosis remains controversial. [2][3][4] Recently, although frequent p16 INK4 mutations have been found in hilar bile duct and common bile duct cancers, their significance was not evaluated because the sample size was too small (total 10 tumors). 5 To date, there is no good biomarker for predicting the outcome in EBDC.p27 Kip , a member of the universal cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) inhibitor family, has recently been shown to be a prognostic factor for various human cancers including breast, 6-8 colon, 8,9 prostate, 10,11 gastric, 12 pancreatic, 13 esophageal, 14,15 and lung 16,17 cancers. These results suggest that the p27 Kip1 cell cycle inhibition pathway plays a significant role in human carcinogenesis and cancer progression. p27 Kip1 exerts its cell-cycle inhibition effects through interaction with several molecules including cyclin D, cyclin E, CDK2, CDK4, and CDK6. Therefore, we hypothesized that th...