Objective-Aortic stenosis (AS) shares risk factors with atherosclerotic vascular disease. Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and plaque may reflect the cumulative damage from exposure to different atherosclerotic risk factors. We examined the relationship of carotid IMT and plaque with incident AS in a prospective population-based study. Approach and Results-A random sample of participants (age, 45-68 years) in the population-based Malmö Diet and Cancer Study underwent B-mode ultrasound with measurements of IMT and the presence of plaque in the common carotid artery (n=5079). Potential risk factors for incident AS were studied in age-and sex-adjusted and expanded multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models. A total of 69 (1.4%) participants developed AS during up to 20 years of follow-up. Significant risk factors for AS in age-and sex-adjusted analyses were (P<0.05) body mass index, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, smoking, C-reactive protein, plaque, and IMT. In contrast, highdensity lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, height, and leukocyte count were not significantly associated with AS (P>0.05). After adjustments, IMT, plaque, age, smoking, C-reactive protein, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and diabetes mellitus remained significantly associated with incident AS. IMT was no longer significantly associated with AS after adjustments for plaque and systolic blood pressure, but plaque remained significantly associated with incident AS. ultrasound and is often a manifestation of atherosclerosis. 16,17 IMT is a risk marker for stroke and acute myocardial infarction but results are conflicting as to the added value of IMT to other established risk factors. [18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25] It has been postulated that common carotid artery IMT might also be a surrogate marker of coronary artery disease. 26 An association between IMT and aortic valve sclerosis has been established previously, 27 but it remains unclear whether the association applies to incident AS.
Conclusions-TraditionalOur aim was to test the association of conventional cardiovascular risk factors, carotid IMT measures, and the presence of carotid plaque with incident AS. To our knowledge, no prospective population-based studies have examined the relationship between vascular ultrasound measurements and AS.
Materials and MethodsMaterial and Methods are available in the online-only Supplement.
Results
Baseline CharacteristicsDuring a follow-up time of up to 20 years (mean, 16.5 years), 69 (1.4%) of the 5079 participants in the IMT samples were diagnosed with incident AS. The baseline characteristics across quartiles of IMT are shown in Table 1
Age-and Sex-Adjusted AnalysesWe observed a significant association between IMT in the common carotid artery and incident AS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.46 per 1-SD increment; P<0.01) as shown in Table 2. BMI, lowdensity lipoprotein cholesterol, CRP, diabetes mellitus, smoking, and hypertension were also associated with incident AS (P<0.05). In contrast, no significa...