Abstract:The drastic vegetation loss of about 22% in 12 years across agro-ecological zones (AEZs) in Nigeria, which can be attributed to the impact of climate and anthropogenic activities on vegetation dynamics within the context of socio-economics, calls for concern. In this study, remotely sensed data from the European Space Agency Land Use/Land Cover dataset, TAMSAT rainfall data, and MODIS NDVI dataset were used to examine changes in vegetation dynamics and monitor vegetation health in the AEZs based on the Normali… Show more
“…Agriculture in Nigerian agriculture is predominantly rain-fed (Oluwatayo, 2019;Bergh et al, 2019;Opata et al, 2019;Umar et al, 2021;Olanrewaju et al, 2022;Ijachi et al, 2023); even where irrigation has been strictly operational, most schemes still rely on predictable rainfall patterns for effectiveness particularly because of surface and groundwater recharge (Shanono et al, 2022). In the last ten years, all Agroecological Zones (AEZs) in Nigeria have witnessed erratic rainfall patterns within the planting seasons (Clinton and Chinago, 2021;Adeaga et al, 2022). Available evidence (Adeyefa and Odekunle, 2022) reveals that most farming seasons have been characterised by early but false onsets, longer dry spells and sometimes late cessation accompanied by excessive rains that generate flash flood events.…”
Nigeria's food production heavily relies on smallholder rainfed agriculture. Unfortunately, this sector is highly vulnerable to the negative impacts of climate change, such as floods and droughts. It is crucial to examine the frequency, intensity, and magnitude of these events and develop effective mitigation and adaptation strategies to ensure the resilience of Nigeria's agricultural system. This study analyses rainfall variability in Nigeria's agroecological zones (AEZs) over the past sixty years. The research evaluates annual, quarterly, and seasonal rainfall patterns and uses the Standardised Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) to examine drought and flood frequency and intensity. The study's findings reveal that the period from 1981 to 1990 experienced the weakest rainfall patterns across all AEZs, while the best occurred from 1961 to 1970. The humid forest zone consistently received the highest rainfall, although with a declining trend over the decades. Conversely, the Arid/Sahel and Semi-arid zones exhibited the lowest with a slight upward trend in precipitation, while others experienced a reduction. Spatial analysis of drought patterns also reveals that most of the AEZs face high drought risks, with over 65% of the country experiencing a considerable increase in drought in the last three decades. The rainfall pattern was less erratic in zones of lower latitudes than in the higher altitudes. Heavy rainfall events exceeding 10 mm and 20 mm revealed a decreasing trend from the Arid to the Humid Forest zone. Extreme weather events have significant economic consequences. Policymakers and stakeholders must take action to ensure climate resilient and sustainable agricultural production systems.
“…Agriculture in Nigerian agriculture is predominantly rain-fed (Oluwatayo, 2019;Bergh et al, 2019;Opata et al, 2019;Umar et al, 2021;Olanrewaju et al, 2022;Ijachi et al, 2023); even where irrigation has been strictly operational, most schemes still rely on predictable rainfall patterns for effectiveness particularly because of surface and groundwater recharge (Shanono et al, 2022). In the last ten years, all Agroecological Zones (AEZs) in Nigeria have witnessed erratic rainfall patterns within the planting seasons (Clinton and Chinago, 2021;Adeaga et al, 2022). Available evidence (Adeyefa and Odekunle, 2022) reveals that most farming seasons have been characterised by early but false onsets, longer dry spells and sometimes late cessation accompanied by excessive rains that generate flash flood events.…”
Nigeria's food production heavily relies on smallholder rainfed agriculture. Unfortunately, this sector is highly vulnerable to the negative impacts of climate change, such as floods and droughts. It is crucial to examine the frequency, intensity, and magnitude of these events and develop effective mitigation and adaptation strategies to ensure the resilience of Nigeria's agricultural system. This study analyses rainfall variability in Nigeria's agroecological zones (AEZs) over the past sixty years. The research evaluates annual, quarterly, and seasonal rainfall patterns and uses the Standardised Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) to examine drought and flood frequency and intensity. The study's findings reveal that the period from 1981 to 1990 experienced the weakest rainfall patterns across all AEZs, while the best occurred from 1961 to 1970. The humid forest zone consistently received the highest rainfall, although with a declining trend over the decades. Conversely, the Arid/Sahel and Semi-arid zones exhibited the lowest with a slight upward trend in precipitation, while others experienced a reduction. Spatial analysis of drought patterns also reveals that most of the AEZs face high drought risks, with over 65% of the country experiencing a considerable increase in drought in the last three decades. The rainfall pattern was less erratic in zones of lower latitudes than in the higher altitudes. Heavy rainfall events exceeding 10 mm and 20 mm revealed a decreasing trend from the Arid to the Humid Forest zone. Extreme weather events have significant economic consequences. Policymakers and stakeholders must take action to ensure climate resilient and sustainable agricultural production systems.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.