Assessment of the Prospects for Restoring the Financial Security of the State

Abstract

Abstract.In the modern period of economic governance, the assessment of the financial security of the state takes place in different directions, different groups of indicators, different methods. Mainly in scientific works, there is a desire for bringing the various components of the assessment of financial security to an integral indicator, taking into account the normalized values of individual indicators, which requires an assessment of their weight and always contains certain subjectivity through the involvement of experts in this process. Considering that the financial system of any country is the basis for the functioning of the economy, and Ukraine has a complex of accumulated socio-economic problems that constantly accompany it, this predetermines the high relevance of this area of research in recent decades. Considering approaches to assessing the level of financial and economic security, it is necessary to refer to the Methodological Recommendations for calculating the level of economic security of Ukraine, in which for this purpose the method of reconciling their estimates with individual systems of advantages that are not publicly available was used. Therefore, in this study, when forming this system of preferences, which affects the direction of the formation of the national strategy of financial and economic security, it is proposed to use the existing cause-and-effect relationships between its components. Taking into account these cause-and-effect relationships and according to the introduced symbols, a matrix of paired comparisons was done by expert means, which determines the direct impact of some components of the country’s financial security on others. The analysis which is made in the article it possible to assess the dynamics in all areas of financial security on the basis of group indicators and identify the most problematic indicators. On the other hand, such an assessment does not give an idea of which risk zone certain indicators belong to, since each of them has its own limits of acceptable values, which is indicated in the article. This direction requires further research and will help determine whether the current state of the state’s financial security belongs to a particular risk zone.
 Keywords: assessment of financial security, financial system, integral indicator, budget security, currency security.
 JEL Classіfіcatіon G17, E22, E66
 Formulas: 2; fig.: 0; tabl.: 3; bibl.: 20.

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