2020
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087965
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Assessment of Sea Ice Extent in CMIP6 With Comparison to Observations and CMIP5

Abstract: Both the Arctic and Antarctic sea ice extents (SIEs) from 44 coupled models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) are evaluated by comparing them with observations and CMIP5 results. The CMIP6 multimodel mean can adequately reproduce the seasonal cycles of both the Arctic and Antarctic SIE. The observed Arctic September SIE declining trend (−0.82 ± 0.18 million km 2 per decade) between 1979 and 2014 is slightly underestimated in CMIP6 models (−0.70 ± 0.06 million km 2 per decade). The ob… Show more

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Cited by 128 publications
(126 citation statements)
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“…A higher horizontal resolution may not be the answer as, depending on the model, it either reduces (Danek et al, 2019) or increases deep convection even further (Koenigk et al, 2020). In the ocean component, one solution could be a more systematic inclusion of overflow parameterisation (Snow et al, 2015); in this study, it seems very effective for CESM2. The one data-assimilating model, NorCPM (Counillon et al, 2016), also proposes an interesting option.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 87%
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“…A higher horizontal resolution may not be the answer as, depending on the model, it either reduces (Danek et al, 2019) or increases deep convection even further (Koenigk et al, 2020). In the ocean component, one solution could be a more systematic inclusion of overflow parameterisation (Snow et al, 2015); in this study, it seems very effective for CESM2. The one data-assimilating model, NorCPM (Counillon et al, 2016), also proposes an interesting option.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 87%
“…The models that convect the least or not at all tend to be the most accurate. For the CESM2 family, accurate bottom properties and lack of deep convection may both be the result of their overflow parameterisation (Briegleb et al, 2010;Snow et al, 2015). For another model, NorCPM1, the accuracy in all properties may come from its observation assimilation rather than accurate model physics (Counillon et al, 2016).…”
Section: Aabw Propertiesmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…The observations are available on a 0.25° latitude by 0.25° longitude grid. A comparison of regional sea ice trends in CMIP6 models with that in previous generation of climate models (CMIP5) is not performed here (see Davy and Outten [2020], Notz et al [2020], and Shu et al [2020] for a comparison of pan-Arctic sea ice extent/area).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…AWI-FESOM is a global configuration of the Finite Element/volumE Sea ice-Ocean Model (FESOM) version 1.4 (Wang et al, 2014;Danilov et al, 2015) of the Alfred Wegener Institute Climate Model (AWI-CM; Sidorenko et al, 2015Sidorenko et al, , 2018Rackow et al, 2018Rackow et al, , 2019Sein et al, 2018). Both the ocean and sea ice modules work on unstructured triangular meshes (Danilov et al, 2004;Wang et al, 2008), thus allowing for multi-resolution simulations.…”
Section: Awi-fesommentioning
confidence: 99%