Assessment of Carbon Storage under Different SSP-RCP Scenarios in Terrestrial Ecosystems of Jilin Province, China

Wan, Daiji; Liu, Jiping; Zhao, Dongyuan

doi:10.3390/ijerph20043691

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 18 publications

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“…Terrestrial ecosystems are an important component of global carbon stocks, act as an indispensable link in the global carbon cycle, and play an important role in the global carbon balance [9,10]. LUCC alters the plant and soil carbon densities of terrestrial ecosystems, and their carbon stocks change accordingly [11].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Response of Carbon Stocks to Land Use/Cover Change and a Vulnerability Multi-Scenario Analysis of the Karst Region in Southern China Based on PLUS-InVEST

Du,

Zhou,

Huang

et al. 2023

Forests

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Quantitatively revealing the response of carbon stocks to land use change (LUCC) and analyzing the vulnerability of ecosystem carbon stock (ECS) services are of great significance for maintaining the carbon cycle and ecological security. For this study, China’s Guizhou Province was the study area. Land use data in 2000, 2010, and 2020 were selected to explore the impacts of LUCC on carbon stocks in multiple scenarios by combining the PLUS and InVEST models and then analyzing the vulnerability of ECS services. The results show that forest land plays an important role in improving ECS services in karst plateau mountainous areas. In 2000–2020, forest land expansion offset the carbon stock reduced by the expansion of built-up land, greatly improving the regional ECS function. Following the natural trend (NT), the total carbon stock in Guizhou Province will decrease by 1.86 Tg; however, under ecological protection (EP) measures, the ECS service performs a positive function for LUCC. Focusing on socioeconomic development (ED) will increase the vulnerability of the regional ECS service. In the future, the forest land area size should be increased, and built-up land should be restricted to better improve the service function of ECS in karst plateau mountainous areas.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Response of Carbon Stocks to Land Use/Cover Change and a Vulnerability Multi-Scenario Analysis of the Karst Region in Southern China Based on PLUS-InVEST

Du,

Zhou,

Huang

et al. 2023

Forests

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What are the key factors influencing the dynamics of forest edge? An application of a new forest edge index in the southeast of China

Wu,

Liu,

et al. 2024

CATENA

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Spatio-Temporal Variations and Drivers of Carbon Storage in the Tibetan Plateau under SSP-RCP Scenarios Based on the PLUS-InVEST-GeoDetector Model

Huang,

Liu,

Wang

2024

Sustainability

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Enhancing carbon storage in terrestrial ecosystems has become a key strategy for mitigating climate change. The Tibetan Plateau holds a pivotal position in achieving carbon neutrality, with the structural pattern of its land use types directly impacting the region’s ecosystem carbon storage capacity. However, there is still a lack of understanding of the spatial distribution of carbon storage in their ecosystems. This study targeted the Tibetan Plateau, utilizing land use data from 2000 to 2020, and employed the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model to project land use patterns for 2030. By integrating future climate change projections, this study forecasted land use under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. The Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model was employed to quantify carbon storage from 2000 to 2030, while the GeoDetector model was used to explore the driving influences of factors such as the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), Leaf Area Index (LAI), Net Primary Productivity (NPP), population density, and road network density on carbon storage. The results revealed that: (1) Grassland predominated the land use types on the Tibetan Plateau, with most types having a stability of over 70%, whereas significant changes were observed in the western Tibet Autonomous Region and southern Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. (2) Carbon storage on the Tibetan Plateau generally followed a tendency towards an initial decrease followed by an increase, with an average annual reduction of 50,107,371.79 Mg. The SSP1-2.6 scenario demonstrated the most substantial increase in carbon storage, being 18 times the natural trend, while the SSP5-8.5 scenario indicated the largest decrease. (3) Over the two decades, NDVI emerged as the most influential driver of carbon storage on the Tibetan Plateau, which was maintained at around 0.4, with the interaction between NDVI and NDWI exerting the strongest driving force, which was maintained at around 0.45. The conversion to forestland and grassland was the primary factor accounting for the change in carbon storage. Based on these results, despite the absence of empirical carbon density data, the SSP1-2.6 scenario could be regarded as a reference pathway for carbon storage changes on the Tibetan Plateau. Solely focusing on enhancing carbon storage by converting low-carbon land uses to high-carbon land uses is misguided; sustainable development represents the optimal approach for augmenting carbon storage on the Tibetan Plateau.

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Assessment of Carbon Storage under Different SSP-RCP Scenarios in Terrestrial Ecosystems of Jilin Province, China

Cited by 3 publications

References 18 publications

The Response of Carbon Stocks to Land Use/Cover Change and a Vulnerability Multi-Scenario Analysis of the Karst Region in Southern China Based on PLUS-InVEST

The Response of Carbon Stocks to Land Use/Cover Change and a Vulnerability Multi-Scenario Analysis of the Karst Region in Southern China Based on PLUS-InVEST

What are the key factors influencing the dynamics of forest edge? An application of a new forest edge index in the southeast of China

Spatio-Temporal Variations and Drivers of Carbon Storage in the Tibetan Plateau under SSP-RCP Scenarios Based on the PLUS-InVEST-GeoDetector Model

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