2019
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2019.07.013
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Assessing the Potential to Reduce U.S. Building CO2 Emissions 80% by 2050

Abstract: Buildings are responsible for 36% of CO 2 emissions in the U.S. and will thus be integral to climate change mitigation. We use Scout, a reproducible model of U.S. building energy use, to assess whether buildings can reduce CO 2 emissions 80% by 2050, finding that aggressive efficiency measures and low-carbon electrification can reduce emissions 72%-78%. The analysis establishes a basis for periodic reassessment of building technology development pathways that can drive longterm reductions in U.S. CO 2 emission… Show more

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Cited by 121 publications
(60 citation statements)
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“…Given that Scout's analysis approach has been described in detail elsewhere [28], we focus on describing the modifications we made to this approach to enable time-sensitive assessments (see appendix B for an overview of Scout's analysis approach and baseline data available online at stacks.iop.org/ERL/14/ 124012/mmedia). Specifically, we use typical daily energy load, price, and emissions shapes for each season and Scout climate region to re-apportion Scout's baseline annual energy, cost, and emissions totals, which reflect EIA Annual Energy Outlook Reference Case projections [29], across all hours of a year.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Given that Scout's analysis approach has been described in detail elsewhere [28], we focus on describing the modifications we made to this approach to enable time-sensitive assessments (see appendix B for an overview of Scout's analysis approach and baseline data available online at stacks.iop.org/ERL/14/ 124012/mmedia). Specifically, we use typical daily energy load, price, and emissions shapes for each season and Scout climate region to re-apportion Scout's baseline annual energy, cost, and emissions totals, which reflect EIA Annual Energy Outlook Reference Case projections [29], across all hours of a year.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Addressing these questions required a more fine-grained stock analysis that accounts for the interaction of different policies, their timing and sectoral scope. At the other end of the spectrum, bottom-up stock modeling approaches have been used to account for the heterogeneity in building technology and end-use characteristics (Langevin et al 2019;Nägeli et al 2020;Brøgger & Wittchen 2018). Such approaches are more complex and require more detailed building-level characteristics and end-use data.…”
Section: Seattle's Policy Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To demonstrate the framework's application, we qualitatively use it to consider six EE measures with a variety of different control or communication technologies. There are many EE measures (e.g., the Scout model contains over 150 measures [Langevin et al, 2019]). Nearly all could include DR-interactive effects by, at a minimum, modifying the baseline customer load.…”
Section: Applying the Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 99%