Background and Aims
Elucidating whether prior dengue potentially confers cross-protection against COVID-19 is of public health importance in tropical countries at-risk of overlapping dengue and COVID-19 epidemics. However, studies to-date have yielded conflicting results. We aimed to assess effects of recent prior dengue infection on risk and severity of subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection amongst adult Singaporeans.
Methods
A retrospective cohort study including all adult Singaporeans aged≥18 years was conducted from 1st July 2021-31st October 2022, when a dengue outbreak driven by the DENV3 serotype preceded subsequent waves of SARS-CoV-2 Delta/Omicron transmission in Singapore. SARS-CoV-2 and dengue infection status were classified using national registries. Cox-regression models adjusted for demographics, COVID-19 vaccination status, comorbidity, and socioeconomic-status (SES) were utilized to assess risks and severity (hospitalization, severe illness) of SARS-CoV-2 infection occurring after prior recorded dengue infection.
Results
A total of 3,366,399 individuals were included, contributing 1,399,696,530 person-days of observation. 13,434 dengue infections and 1,253,520 subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infections were recorded; with an average of 94.7 days (S.D=83.8) between dengue infection and SARS-CoV-2 infection. Preceding dengue infection was associated with a modest increase in risk of subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection (adjusted-hazards-ratio, aHR=1.13, 95%CI=1.08-1.17), and significantly elevated risk of subsequent COVID-19 hospitalization (aHR=3.25, 95%CI=2.78-3.82) and severe COVID-19 (aHR=3.39, 95%CI=2.29-5.03).
Conclusions
Increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and adverse COVID-19 outcomes were observed following preceding dengue infection in a national population-based cohort of adult Singaporeans. This observation is of significance in tropical countries with overlapping dengue and COVID-19 outbreaks.