Are the remittance receipts of the South-Asian region resilient to the Covid-19 crisis? A peek into the future through the past

Khan, Imran; Akhtar, Mohammed Anam

doi:10.1080/20430795.2022.2060175

Cited by 7 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 35 publications

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“…Although conventional stationarity testing does not account for structural breaks the data showed no signs of them. When the mean, variance, and covariance are constant, a series reaches stationarity (Khan et al, 2022). All variables integration occurs at I(1) according to the ADF results, with the exception of LNRENEW, which is I(0) at the trend and intercept, whereas every variable is stationary at I(1) according to the PP results.…”

Section: Data Presentationmentioning

confidence: 89%

The Consequences of Economic Growth, Energy Use, and Agricultural Methane Emissions on Environmental Deterioration in Sweden.

Damak,

GÜNGÖR

2023

Preprint

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The purpose of this study is to look into how environmental deterioration in Sweden changed from 1990 to 2021 as a result of energy use, economic growth, and agricultural methane emissions. The empirical analysis makes use of various econometric methods, including the bounds test for autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL). The tests for Granger causality and FMOLS are applied to the data. At levels, the variables are non-stationary, other than renewable energy, in light of the results of the unit root and stationarity tests, despite the fact that they remain stationary in the I (1) or first-differences form. The five variables are shown to be related over the long term by the ARDL limits F-test. Additionally, both a rise in the usage of fossil fuels and clean energy usage has a major long-term impact on environmental deterioration. The coefficients of the estimated error correction component are also negative and statistically significant. Additionally, the research employs Granger causality tests to investigate the variables' causal connections. The outcomes demonstrated that use of clean energy does not contribute to CO2 emissions, whereas GDP, fossil fuel consumption, and agricultural methane emission do. The study’s also addressed a vacuum in the literature by using the ARDL method to look at this important topic for Sweden.

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Section: Data Presentationmentioning

confidence: 89%

The Consequences of Economic Growth, Energy Use, and Agricultural Methane Emissions on Environmental Deterioration in Sweden.

Damak,

GÜNGÖR

2023

Preprint

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“…In this context, Khan (2023) found that positive shocks in remittance inflows to India helped enhance its economic growth. Furthermore, it has also been found that the resiliency of foreign fund inflows is important for a nation’s economic development and acts as a shock absorber during economic downturns (Khan and Akhtar, 2022; Khan and Gunwant, 2023b). Furthermore, it has also been found in past studies that foreign fund inflows help reduce unemployment.…”

Section: Theoretical Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

Reducing gender-based unemployment in India: the impact of social inclusion and foreign funds inflows

Khan,

Gunwant

2024

IGDR

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically analyze the impact of social inclusion factors and foreign fund inflows on reducing gender-based unemployment in India. Design/methodology/approach A time series data set for the period of 1991–2021 has been considered, and an autoregressive distributed lag methodology has been applied to measure the short- and long-run impact of social inclusion and foreign fund inflows on reducing gender-based unemployment in India. Findings According to the study’s findings, both social inclusion and foreign fund inflows are critical factors for reducing male unemployment. However, in the case of female unemployment, only social inclusion factors play an important role, whereas foreign fund inflows have no role in it. Originality/value Analyzing the factors that affect gender-based unemployment has always been a grey area in literature. There are very few studies that capture gender-based unemployment in India, making this study a novice contribution. Second, it examines the relationship between foreign fund inflows, social inclusion and unemployment, which is another novel area of investigation. Finally, this study provides comprehensive and distinct results for both male and female unemployment that can help policymakers devise gender-based unemployment policies.

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“…Remittances, which refer to the money sent home by migrants, play a critical role in the development of recipient nations (Padhan et al, 2023). Even during the economic downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, remittances displayed surprising resilience, experiencing a smaller decline than initially anticipated (Khan and Akhtar, 2022). According to the World Bank, remittances to developing countries decreased by a marginal 1.6% in 2020 compared to 2019, which was significantly less severe than the impact of the 2009 financial crisis.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“Revealing the future”: an ARIMA model analysis for predicting remittance inflows

Khan,

Gunwant

2024

JBSED

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PurposeThe purpose of this research is to develop a predictive model that can estimate the volume of remittances channeled toward Yemen’s economic reconstruction efforts.Design/methodology/approachThis study utilized a time-series dataset encompassing remittance inflows into Yemen’s economy from 1990 to 2022. The Box-Jenkins autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) methodology was employed to forecast remittance inflows for the period 2023 to 2030.FindingsThe study’s findings indicate a downward trajectory in remittance inflows over the next eight years, with projections suggesting a potential decline to 4.122% of Yemen’s gross domestic product by the end of 2030. This significant decrease in remittance inflows highlights the immediate need for concrete steps from economic policymakers to curb the potential decline in remittance inflows and its impact on Yemen’s economic recovery efforts.Originality/valueThe impact of global remittance inflows on various macroeconomic and microeconomic factors has long been of interest to researchers, policymakers, and academics. Yemen has been embroiled in violent clashes over a decade, leading to a fragmentation of central authority and the formation of distinct local alliances. In such prolonged turmoil, foreign aid often falls short, providing only temporary relief for basic needs. Consequently, the importance of migrant remittances in sustaining communities affected by conflict and disasters has increased. Remittances have played a crucial role in fostering economic progress and improving social services for families transitioning from conflict to peace. Therefore, this study aims to estimate and forecast the volume of remittances flowing into Yemen, to assist in the nation’s economic reconstruction.

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Are the remittance receipts of the South-Asian region resilient to the Covid-19 crisis? A peek into the future through the past

Cited by 7 publications

References 35 publications

The Consequences of Economic Growth, Energy Use, and Agricultural Methane Emissions on Environmental Deterioration in Sweden.

The Consequences of Economic Growth, Energy Use, and Agricultural Methane Emissions on Environmental Deterioration in Sweden.

Reducing gender-based unemployment in India: the impact of social inclusion and foreign funds inflows

“Revealing the future”: an ARIMA model analysis for predicting remittance inflows

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