Application of the target trial emulation framework to external comparator studies

Abstract

External comparator (EC) studies are increasingly being used to generate evidence that supports the evaluation of emerging pharmacological treatments for regulatory and health technology assessment (HTA) purposes. However, the reliability of evidence generated from EC studies can vary. In this paper, we outline how an existing framework for causal inference, the target trial emulation (TTE) framework, can be appropriately applied to improve the design and analysis of EC studies. Applying the TTE framework involves specifying the protocol of an ideal target trial which would answer the causal question of interest, then emulating its key elements under real-world (RW) settings. We describe each component of the original TTE framework and explain how it can be applied to EC studies, supplemented with practical recommendations. We also highlight special considerations and limitations in applying the TTE framework to EC studies. We describe how the TTE framework can be applied to improve the clarity, transparency, and reliability of evidence generated from EC studies.