Application of Machine Learning Coupled with Stochastic Numerical Analyses for Sizing Hybrid Surge Vessels on Low-Head Pumping Mains

Abstract

In surge protection, low-head profiles are deemed a challenge in pump failure events since they are prone to severe negative pressure surges that require an uneconomical surge vessel volume. A hybrid surge vessel with a dipping tube can provide required protection with reasonable economic volume. This work presents novel analyses for the hybrid surge vessel and develops a simple model for its optimum sizing using a stochastic numerical approach coupled with machine learning. Practical ranges for correct sizing of vessel components, such as ventilation tube, inlet/outlet air valves, and compression chamber, are presented for optimal protection and performance. The water hammer equations are iteratively solved using the hybrid surge vessel’s revised boundary conditions within the method of characteristics numerical framework to generate 2000 cases representing real pump failures on low-head pipelines. Genetic programming is utilized to develop simple relations for prediction of the hybrid vessel initial and expanded air volumes in addition to the compression chamber volume. Moreover, the developed model presented a classification index for low-head pipelines on which the hybrid vessel would be most economical. The developed model yielded good prediction error statistics. The developed model proves to be more accurate and easier to use than the classical design charts for the low-head pumping mains. The model clearly showed the relation between various hydraulic and pipe parameters, with pipe diameter and static head as the most influencing parameters on compression chamber volume and expanded air volume. The developed model, together with the classification indices, can be used for preliminary surge protection sizing for low-head pipelines.